Updated on 2026/04/26

写真a

 
YAMADA,Hiroshi
 
Organization
Faculty of Economics Professor
Title
Professor
Contact information
メールアドレス
External link

Degree

  • Ph.D. ( 1999.3   University of Tsukuba )

Research Interests

  • ECONOMIC TIME SERIES

  • SPATIAL STATISTICS

Research Areas

  • Humanities & Social Sciences / Economic statistics

Education

  • The University of Osaka   The Institute of Social and Economic Research

    1995.4 - 1997.3

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  • University of Tsukuba

    1994.4 - 1997.3

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  • University of Tsukuba

    1992.4 - 1994.3

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  • Hiroshima University   Faculty of Economics

    1985.4 - 1990.3

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Research History

  • Kansai University   Faculty of Economics   Professor

    2026.4

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  • Hiroshima University   Professor

    2020.4 - 2026.3

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  • Hiroshima University   Professor

    2007.4 - 2020.3

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  • Hiroshima University   Graduate School of Social Sciences   Associate Professor (as old post name)

    2004.4 - 2007.3

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  • Hiroshima University   Faculty of Economics   Associate Professor (as old post name)

    2000.9 - 2004.3

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  • Otaru University of Commerce   Faculty of Commerce   Associate Professor (as old post name)

    1997.4 - 2000.8

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  • 日本学術振興会特別研究員 (DC1)

    1994.4 - 1997.3

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  • 財団法人計量計画研究所   研究助手

    1991.8 - 1992.1

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  • 株式会社三菱銀行

    1990.4 - 1991.7

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Professional Memberships

Committee Memberships

  •   日本統計学会,JSS-Springer委員会委員  

    2025.5 - Present   

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  • University of Essex   External Assessor for Promotion  

    2025.4 - 2025.5   

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  • 一般社団法人日本経済学会   代議員  

    2024.5 - 2026.5   

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    Committee type:Academic society

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  • 文部科学省高等教育局   大学設置・学校法人審議会(大学設置分科会)専門委員(令和6年度,経済学専門委員会)  

    2023.11 - 2024.10   

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    Committee type:Government

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  • 文部科学省高等教育局   大学設置・学校法人審議会(大学設置分科会)専門委員(令和5年度,経済学専門委員会)  

    2022.11 - 2023.10   

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    Committee type:Government

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  • 独立行政法人日本学術振興会   2段階書面審査審査委員  

    2022.11 - 2023.10   

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    Committee type:Academic society

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  • 一般社団法人日本経済学会   代議員  

    2022.5 - 2024.5   

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  • 文部科学省高等教育局   大学設置・学校法人審議会(大学設置分科会)専門委員(令和4年度,経済学専門委員会)  

    2021.11 - 2022.10   

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    Committee type:Government

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  • 情報・システム研究機構統計数理研究所   統計思考院運営委員会委員  

    2020.4 - 2021.3   

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    Committee type:Other

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  • 独立行政法人日本学術振興会   2段階書面審査審査委員  

    2019.12 - 2020.11   

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  • 情報・システム研究機構統計数理研究所   統計思考院運営委員会委員  

    2019.4 - 2020.3   

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  • 独立行政法人日本学術振興会   科学研究費委員会専門委員  

    2018.12 - 2019.11   

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  • 独立行政法人日本学術振興会   科学研究費委員会専門委員  

    2017.12 - 2018.11   

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Papers

  • Interpolating Missing Spatial Data Using Graph Laplacian Eigenbasis Reviewed International coauthorship International journal

    Zihan Jin, Hiroshi Yamada

    Mathematics   14 ( 9 )   1435   2026.4

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    Authorship:Last author, Corresponding author   Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher:MDPI AG  

    This paper addresses the problem of interpolating missing spatial data at the vertices of a connected undirected simple graph. We show that, by exploiting the eigenbasis of the graph Laplacian, all missing values can be reconstructed even from a single observation. This work establishes a novel connection between spatial statistics and spectral graph theory.

    DOI: 10.3390/math14091435

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  • Lower and upper bounds for the eigenvalues of a pentadiagonal matrix arising in the Hodrick-Prescott filter Reviewed International journal

    Hiroshi Yamada

    Special Matrices   13 ( 1 )   20250043   2025.12

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    Authorship:Lead author, Last author, Corresponding author   Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)  

    DOI: 10.1515/spma-2025-0043

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  • Linear Trend, HP Trend, and bHP Trend Reviewed

    Hiroshi Yamada

    Mathematics   13 ( 11 )   1893   2025.6

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    Authorship:Lead author, Last author, Corresponding author   Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher:MDPI  

    DOI: 10.3390/math13111893

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  • Boosted Whittaker-Henderson Graduation of Order 1: A Graph Spectral Filter Using Discrete Cosine Transform Reviewed International coauthorship

    Ruoyi Bao, Hiroshi Yamada

    Contemporary Mathematics Singapore   6 ( 2 )   2027 - 2037   2025.3

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    Authorship:Last author, Corresponding author   Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)  

    DOI: 10.37256/cm.6220254409

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  • Boosted Whittaker–Henderson Graduation Reviewed International coauthorship

    Zihan Jin, Hiroshi Yamada

    Mathematics   12 ( 21 )   3377   2024.10

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    Authorship:Last author, Corresponding author   Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher:MDPI  

    DOI: 10.3390/math12213377

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  • Moran’s $I$ for Multivariate Spatial Data Reviewed

    Hiroshi Yamada

    Mathematics   12 ( 17 )   2746   2024.9

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    Authorship:Lead author, Last author, Corresponding author   Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher:MDPI  

    DOI: 10.3390/math12172746

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  • Boosted HP Filter: Several Properties Derived from Its Spectral Representation Reviewed

    Hiroshi Yamada

    Computational Science and Its Applications – ICCSA 2024: 24th International Conference, Hanoi, Vietnam, July 1–4, 2024, Proceedings, Part II   2024.7

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    Authorship:Lead author, Last author, Corresponding author   Language:English   Publisher:Springer Cham  

    DOI: 10.1007/978-3-031-64608-9_15

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  • Geary’s $c$ for Multivariate Spatial Data Reviewed

    Hiroshi Yamada

    Mathematics   12 ( 12 )   1820   2024.6

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    Authorship:Lead author, Last author, Corresponding author   Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher:MDPI  

    DOI: 10.3390/math12121820

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  • Spatial Smoothing Using Graph Laplacian Penalized Filter Reviewed

    Hiroshi Yamada

    Spatial Statistics   2024.4

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    Authorship:Lead author, Last author, Corresponding author   Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher:Elsevier  

    DOI: 10.1016/j.spasta.2023.100799

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  • A New Perspective on Moran’s Coefficient: Revisited Reviewed

    Hiroshi Yamada

    Mathematics   12 ( 2 )   253   2024.1

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    Authorship:Lead author, Last author, Corresponding author   Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher:MDPI  

    DOI: 10.3390/math12020253

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  • Geary’s $c$ and Spectral Graph Theory: A Complement Reviewed

    Hiroshi Yamada

    Mathematics   11 ( 20 )   4228   2023.10

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    Authorship:Lead author, Last author, Corresponding author   Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)  

    DOI: 10.3390/math11204228

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  • HPX filter: A hybrid of Hodrick–Prescott filter and multiple regression Reviewed

    Hiroshi Yamada

    Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics   28 ( 4 )   661 - 671   2023.6

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    Authorship:Lead author, Last author, Corresponding author   Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher:Walter de Gruyter {GmbH}  

    This paper considers an extension of Hodrick-Prescott (HP) filter. It is a hybrid of HP filter and multiple regression. We refer to the filter as "HPX filter". It is well known that HP filter has a unique global minimizer and the solution can be represented in matrix notation explicitly. Does HPX filter also have a unique global minimizer? Is it accomplished without any additional assumptions? Can the solution be expressed in matrix notation explicitly? In this paper, we answer these questions. In addition, this paper (i) provides an alternative perspective on the filter by representing it as a generalized ridge regression and (ii) gives an extension of it, which is a hybrid of Whittaker-Henderson method of graduation and multiple regression.

    DOI: 10.1515/snde-2023-0004

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  • A unified perspective on some autocorrelation measures in different fields: A note Reviewed

    Hiroshi Yamada

    Open Mathematics   21 ( 1 )   20220542   2023.4

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    Authorship:Lead author, Last author, Corresponding author   Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher:Walter de Gruyter {GmbH}  

    <jats:title>Abstract</jats:title>
    <jats:p>Using notions from linear algebraic graph theory, this article provides a unified perspective on some autocorrelation measures in different fields. They are as follows: (a) Orcutt’s first serial correlation coefficient, (b) Anderson’s first circular serial correlation coefficient, (c) Moran’s <jats:inline-formula>
    <jats:alternatives>
    <jats:inline-graphic xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xlink:href="graphic/j_math-2022-0574_eq_001.png" />
    <m:math xmlns:m="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML">
    <m:msub>
    <m:mrow>
    <m:mi>r</m:mi>
    </m:mrow>
    <m:mrow>
    <m:mn>11</m:mn>
    </m:mrow>
    </m:msub>
    </m:math>
    <jats:tex-math>{r}_{11}</jats:tex-math>
    </jats:alternatives>
    </jats:inline-formula>, and (d) Moran’s <jats:inline-formula>
    <jats:alternatives>
    <jats:inline-graphic xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xlink:href="graphic/j_math-2022-0574_eq_002.png" />
    <m:math xmlns:m="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML">
    <m:mi>I</m:mi>
    </m:math>
    <jats:tex-math>I</jats:tex-math>
    </jats:alternatives>
    </jats:inline-formula>. The first two are autocorrelation measures for one-dimensional data equally spaced, such as time series data, and the last two are for spatial data. We prove that (a)–(c) are a kind of (d). For example, we show that (d) such that its spatial weight matrix equals the adjacency matrix of a path graph is the same as (a). The perspective is beneficial because studying the properties of (d) leads to studying the properties of (a)–(c) at the same time. For example, the bounds of (a)–(c) can be found from the bounds of (d).</jats:p>

    DOI: 10.1515/math-2022-0574

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  • $\ell_{1}$ common trend filtering: An extension Reviewed

    Ruoyi Bao, Hiroshi Yamada, Kazuhiko Hayakawa

    Journal of Statistical Computation and Simulation   93 ( 4 )   493 - 512   2022.11

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    Authorship:Corresponding author   Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher:Informa UK Limited  

    DOI: 10.1080/00949655.2022.2144314

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  • Quantile regression version of Hodrick–Prescott filter Reviewed

    Hiroshi Yamada

    Empirical Economics   64   1631 - 1645   2022.8

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    <jats:title>Abstract</jats:title><jats:p>Hodrick–Prescott (HP) filter is a popular trend filtering method for univariate macroeconomic time series such as real gross domestic product. This paper considers the quantile regression version of HP filter (qHP filter), which is a filtering method defined by replacing quadratic loss function of HP filter with quantile regression loss function. One of the essential properties of quantile regression is that if the regression includes intercept, then the ratio of negative residuals can be almost controlled. Does the suggested qHP filter also have the property? This paper answers this question. In addition to the main result, we provide an empirical illustration.</jats:p>

    DOI: 10.1007/s00181-022-02292-8

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  • TREND EXTRACTION FROM ECONOMIC TIME SERIES WITH MISSING OBSERVATIONS BY GENERALIZED HODRICK–PRESCOTT FILTERS Reviewed

    Hiroshi Yamada

    Econometric Theory   38 ( 3 )   1 - 35   2021.6

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    Authorship:Lead author, Last author, Corresponding author   Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher:Cambridge University Press ({CUP})  

    <jats:p>The Hodrick–Prescott (HP) filter has been a popular method of trend extraction from economic time series. However, it is impractical without modification if some observations are not available. This paper improves the HP filter so that it can be applied in such situations. More precisely, this paper introduces two alternative generalized HP filters that are applicable for this purpose. We provide their properties and a way of specifying those smoothing parameters that are required for their application. In addition, we numerically examine their performance. Finally, based on our analysis, we recommend one of them for applied studies.</jats:p>

    DOI: 10.1017/s0266466621000189

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  • $\ell _{1}$ Common Trend Filtering Reviewed

    Hiroshi Yamada, Ruoyi Bao

    Computational Economics   59 ( 3 )   1005 - 1025   2021.4

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    Abstract

    The$$\ell _{1}$$trend filtering enables us to estimate a continuous piecewise linear trend of univariate time series. This filter and its variants have subsequently been applied in various fields, including astronomy, climatology, economics, electronics, environmental science, finance, and geophysics. Although the$$\ell _{1}$$trend filtering can estimate a continuous piecewise linear trend of univariate time series, it cannot estimate a common continuous piecewise linear trend of multiple time series. This paper develops a statistical procedure that enables us to estimate it, which is a multivariate extension of the$$\ell _{1}$$trend filtering. We provide an algorithm for estimating it and a clue to specify the tuning parameter of the procedure, both required for its application. We also (i) numerically illustrate how well the algorithm works, (ii) provide an empirical illustration, and (iii) introduce a generalization of our novel method.

    DOI: 10.1007/s10614-021-10114-9

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    Other Link: https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10614-021-10114-9/fulltext.html

  • Geary’s $c$ and spectral graph theory Reviewed International journal

    Hiroshi Yamada

    Mathematics   9 ( 19 )   2021

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    DOI: 10.3390/math9192465

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  • A pioneering study on discrete cosine transform Reviewed

    Hiroshi Yamada

    Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods   51 ( 15 )   1 - 5   2020.10

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    DOI: 10.1080/03610926.2020.1838547

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  • Principle of Duality in Cubic Smoothing Spline Reviewed

    Ruixue Du, Hiroshi Yamada

    Mathematics   8 ( 10 )   1839   2020.10

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    <jats:p>Fitting a cubic smoothing spline is a typical smoothing method. This paper reveals a principle of duality in the penalized least squares regressions relating to the method. We also provide a number of results derived from them, some of which are illustrated by a real data example.</jats:p>

    DOI: 10.3390/math8101839

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  • A SMOOTHING METHOD THAT LOOKS LIKE THE HODRICK–PRESCOTT FILTER Reviewed

    Hiroshi Yamada

    Econometric Theory   36 ( 5 )   961 - 981   2020.10

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    <jats:p>In recent decades, in the research community of macroeconometric time series analysis, we have observed growing interest in the smoothing method known as the Hodrick–Prescott (HP) filter. This article examines the properties of an alternative smoothing method that looks like the HP filter, but is much less well known. We show that this is actually more like the exponential smoothing filter than the HP filter although it is obtainable through a slight modification of the HP filter. In addition, we also show that it is also like the low-frequency projection of Müller and Watson (2018, <jats:italic>Econometrica</jats:italic> 86, 775–804). We point out that these results derive from the fact that all three similar smoothing methods can be regarded as a type of graph spectral filter whose graph Fourier transform is discrete cosine transform. We then theoretically reveal the relationship between the similar smoothing methods and provide a way of specifying the smoothing parameter that is necessary for its application. An empirical examination illustrates the results.</jats:p>

    DOI: 10.1017/s0266466619000379

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  • A note on Whittaker–Henderson graduation: Bisymmetry of the smoother matrix Reviewed

    Hiroshi Yamada

    Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods   49 ( 7 )   1629 - 1634   2020.4

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    Authorship:Lead author, Last author, Corresponding author   Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher:Informa {UK} Limited  

    DOI: 10.1080/03610926.2018.1563183

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  • An explicit formula for the smoother weights of the Hodrick–Prescott filter Reviewed International coauthorship

    Hiroshi Yamada, Fatima Tuj Jahra

    Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics   23 ( 5 )   1 - 10   2019.12

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    <jats:title>Abstract</jats:title>
    <jats:p>By applying the Sherman–Morrison–Woodbury (SMW) formula and a discrete cosine transformation matrix, De Jong and Sakarya [De Jong, R. M., and N. Sakarya. 2016. “The Econometrics of the Hodrick–Prescott Filter.” <jats:italic>Review of Economics and Statistics</jats:italic> 98 (2): 310–317] recently derived an explicit formula for the smoother weights of the Hodrick–Prescott filter. More recently, by applying the SMW formula and the spectral decomposition of a symmetric tridiagonal Toeplitz matrix, Cornea-Madeira [Cornea-Madeira, A. 2017. “The Explicit Formula for the Hodrick–Prescott Filter in Finite Sample.” <jats:italic>Review of Economics and Statistics</jats:italic> 99: 314–318] provided a simpler formula. This paper provides an alternative simpler formula for it and explains the reason why our approach leads to a simpler formula.</jats:p>

    DOI: 10.1515/snde-2018-0035

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  • A modification of the Whittaker–Henderson method of graduation Reviewed International coauthorship

    Hiroshi Yamada, Ruixue Du

    Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods   48 ( 15 )   3795 - 3800   2019.8

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    DOI: 10.1080/03610926.2018.1481974

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  • Explicit formulas for the smoother weights of the Whittaker–Henderson graduation of order 1 Reviewed

    Hiroshi Yamada

    Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods   2019.6

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    DOI: 10.1080/03610926.2018.1476713

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  • Some Results on $\ell_{1}$ Polynomial Trend Filtering Reviewed

    Hiroshi Yamada, Ruixue Du

    Econometrics   6 ( 3 )   33 - 33   2018.7

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    Authorship:Lead author, Corresponding author   Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher:{MDPI} {AG}  

    DOI: 10.3390/econometrics6030033

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  • A New Method for Specifying the Tuning Parameter of $\ell_{1}$ Trend Filtering Reviewed

    Hiroshi Yamada

    Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics   2018.5

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    Authorship:Lead author, Last author, Corresponding author   Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher:Walter de Gruyter GmbH  

    DOI: 10.1515/snde-2016-0073

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  • Several least-squares problems related to the Hodrick–Prescott filtering Reviewed

    Hiroshi Yamada

    Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods   47 ( 5 )   1022 - 1027   2018.3

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    Authorship:Lead author, Last author, Corresponding author   Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher:Taylor and Francis Inc.  

    DOI: 10.1080/03610926.2017.1285934

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  • Why does the trend extracted by the Hodrick–Prescott filtering seem to be more plausible than the linear trend? Reviewed

    Hiroshi Yamada

    Applied Economics Letters   25 ( 2 )   102 - 105   2018.1

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    Authorship:Lead author, Last author, Corresponding author   Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher:Routledge  

    DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1299095

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  • A trend filtering method closely related to $\ell_{1}$ trend filtering Reviewed

    Hiroshi Yamada

    Empirical Economics   55 ( 4 )   1 - 11   2017.12

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    Authorship:Lead author, Last author, Corresponding author   Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher:Springer Verlag  

    DOI: 10.1007/s00181-017-1349-8

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  • The Frisch–Waugh–Lovell theorem for the lasso and the ridge regression Reviewed

    Hiroshi Yamada

    Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods   46 ( 21 )   10897 - 10902   2017.11

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    DOI: 10.1080/03610926.2016.1252403

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  • A small but practically useful modification to the Hodrick-Prescott filtering: A note Reviewed

    Hiroshi Yamada

    COMMUNICATIONS IN STATISTICS-THEORY AND METHODS   46 ( 17 )   8430 - 8434   2017

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    DOI: 10.1080/03610926.2016.1179764

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  • Measuring the US NAIRU as a step function Reviewed International coauthorship International journal

    Hiroshi Yamada, Gawon Yoon

    EMPIRICAL ECONOMICS   51 ( 4 )   1679 - 1688   2016.12

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    Authorship:Lead author, Corresponding author   Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)  

    DOI: 10.1007/s00181-015-1048-2

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  • Estimating the trend in US real GDP using the $\ell_{1}$ trend filtering Reviewed

    Hiroshi Yamada

    Applied Economics Letters   24 ( 10 )   713 - 716   2016.9

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    DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1223811

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  • Selecting the tuning parameter of the $\ell_{1}$ trend filter Reviewed

    Hiroshi Yamada, Gawon Yoon

    STUDIES IN NONLINEAR DYNAMICS AND ECONOMETRICS   20 ( 1 )   97 - 105   2016.2

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    Authorship:Lead author, Corresponding author   Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)  

    DOI: 10.1515/snde-2014-0089

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  • RIDGE REGRESSION REPRESENTATIONS OF THE GENERALIZED HODRICK-PRESCOTT FILTER Reviewed International journal

    Hiroshi Yamada

    Journal of the Japan Statistical Society   45 ( 2 )   121 - 128   2015

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    Authorship:Lead author, Last author, Corresponding author   Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)  

    DOI: 10.14490/jjss.45.121

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  • SOME THEORETICAL AND SIMULATION RESULTS ON THE FREQUENCY DOMAIN CAUSALITY TEST Reviewed International coauthorship International journal

    Hiroshi Yamada, Yanfeng Wei

    ECONOMETRIC REVIEWS   33 ( 8 )   936 - 947   2014.11

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    Authorship:Lead author, Corresponding author   Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)  

    DOI: 10.1080/07474938.2013.808488

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  • When Grilli and Yang meet Prebisch and Singer: Piecewise linear trends in primary commodity prices Reviewed International coauthorship International journal

    Hiroshi Yamada, Gawon Yoon

    JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONAL MONEY AND FINANCE   42   193 - 207   2014.4

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    Authorship:Lead author   Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)  

    DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2013.08.011

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  • Estimating the time-varying NAIRU and the Phillips curve slope simultaneously: A note Reviewed

    Hiroshi Yamada

    APPLIED ECONOMICS LETTERS   21 ( 15 )   1057 - 1059   2014

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    Authorship:Lead author, Last author, Corresponding author   Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)  

    DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.907474

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  • Japan's output gap estimation and $\ell_{1}$ trend filtering Reviewed International coauthorship International journal

    Hiroshi Yamada, Lan Jin

    Empirical Economics   45 ( 1 )   81 - 88   2013

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    Authorship:Lead author, Corresponding author   Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher:PHYSICA-VERLAG GMBH & CO  

    DOI: 10.1007/s00181-012-0625-x

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  • A Note on Band-Pass Filters Based on the Hodrick-Prescott Filter and the OECD System of Composite Leading Indicators Reviewed

    Hiroshi Yamada

    OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis   2011 ( 2 )   105 - 109   2012.1

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    Authorship:Lead author, Last author, Corresponding author   Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher:Organisation for Economic Co-Operation and Development ({OECD})  

    DOI: 10.1787/jbcma-2011-5kg0pb01sbbt

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  • A comparison of two alternative composite leading indicators for detecting Japanese business cycle turning points Reviewed

    Hiroshi Yamada, Syuichi Nagata, Yuzo Honda

    APPLIED ECONOMICS LETTERS   17 ( 9 )   875 - 879   2010

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    DOI: 10.1080/13504850802570384

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  • An Evaluation of Japanese Leading Indicators Reviewed

    Hiroshi Yamada, Yuzo Honda, Yasuyoshi Tokutsu

    Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis   2007 ( 2 )   217 - 233   2008.3

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    Authorship:Lead author, Corresponding author   Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher:Organisation for Economic Co-Operation and Development ({OECD})  

    DOI: 10.1787/jbcma-v2007-art12-en

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  • Nonlinear co-trending and the Fisher relationship in Japan: A note Reviewed

    Hiroshi Yamada

    Applied Financial Economics Letters   1 ( 5 )   285 - 287   2005.9

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    Authorship:Lead author, Last author, Corresponding author   Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher:Informa {UK} Limited  

    DOI: 10.1080/17446540500226197

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  • Wavelet-based beta estimation and Japanese industrial stock prices Reviewed

    Hiroshi Yamada

    APPLIED ECONOMICS LETTERS   12 ( 2 )   85 - 88   2005.2

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    DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000307152

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  • Do stock prices contain predictive information on business turning points? A wavelet analysis Reviewed

    Hiroshi Yamada, Yuzo Honda

    Applied Financial Economics Letters   1 ( 1 )   19 - 23   2005.1

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    DOI: 10.1080/1744654042000296862

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  • Some Monte Carlo evidence on the hypothesis testing for the mean of the stationary vector autoregressive process Reviewed

    Hiroshi Yamada

    MODSIM 2003: INTERNATIONAL CONGRESS ON MODELLING AND SIMULATION, VOLS 1-4   1251 - 1256   2003

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    Authorship:Lead author, Last author, Corresponding author   Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (international conference proceedings)  

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  • Real interest rate equalization: some empirical evidence from the three major world financial markets Reviewed

    Hiroshi Yamada

    APPLIED ECONOMICS   34 ( 16 )   2069 - 2073   2002.11

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    Authorship:Lead author, Last author, Corresponding author   Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)  

    DOI: 10.1080/00036840210128708

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  • On the linkage of real interest rates between the US and Canada: Some additional empirical evidence Reviewed

    Hiroshi Yamada

    Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money   12 ( 3 )   279 - 289   2002

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    Authorship:Lead author, Last author, Corresponding author   Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)  

    DOI: 10.1016/S1042-4431(02)00007-0

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  • M2 demand relation and effective exchange rate in Japan: A cointegration analysis Reviewed

    Hiroshi Yamada

    APPLIED ECONOMICS LETTERS   7 ( 4 )   229 - 232   2000.4

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    Authorship:Lead author, Last author, Corresponding author   Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)  

    DOI: 10.1080/135048500351564

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  • Empirical evidence for export promotion strategies Reviewed

    Hiroshi Yamada

    APPLIED ECONOMICS LETTERS   6 ( 12 )   775 - 778   1999.12

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    Authorship:Lead author, Last author, Corresponding author   Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)  

    DOI: 10.1080/135048599352141

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  • A note on the causality between export and productivity Reviewed

    Hiroshi Yamada

    Economics Letters   61 ( 1 )   111 - 114   1998.10

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    Authorship:Lead author, Last author, Corresponding author   Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher:Elsevier {BV}  

    DOI: 10.1016/s0165-1765(98)00154-2

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  • Inference in possibly integrated vector autoregressive models: Some finite sample evidence Reviewed

    Hiroshi Yamada, Hiro Y. Toda

    JOURNAL OF ECONOMETRICS   86 ( 1 )   55 - 95   1998.9

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    Authorship:Lead author   Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)  

    DOI: 10.1016/S0304-4076(97)00109-7

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  • A note on hypothesis testing based on the fully modified vector autoregression Reviewed

    Hiroshi Yamada, Hiro Y. Toda

    ECONOMICS LETTERS   56 ( 1 )   27 - 39   1997.9

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    Authorship:Lead author   Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)  

    DOI: 10.1016/S0165-1765(97)00157-2

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Books

  • 計量経済学の基礎ー統計的手法の理論とプログラミング

    戸田裕之, 山田, 宏

    東京大学出版会  2007.1  ( ISBN:9784130421256

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    Total pages:506  

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  • Co-trending: A Statistical System Analysis of Economic Trends

    Michio Hatanaka, Hiroshi Yamada

    Springer-Verlag Tokyo  2003.7  ( ISBN:9784431401582

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    Total pages:115   Book type:Scholarly book

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Presentations

  • A Smoothing Method That Looks Like the Hodrick–Prescott Filter Invited

    Hiroshi Yamada

    2020 Nanyang Econometrics Conference  2020.1  Division of Economics, School of Social Sciences, Nanyang Technological University

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    Language:English   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

    Venue:Singapore  

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  • Whittaker-Henderson Graduation Provides BLUP International conference

    Hiroshi Yamada

    2016 HU-HUE-SMU Tripartite Conference  2016.3 

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    Language:English   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

    Venue:Singapore Management University, Singapore  

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  • A Small But Practically Useful Modification to the l1 Trend Filtering International conference

    Hiroshi Yamada

    12th International Symposium on Econometric Theory and Applications  2016.2 

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    Language:English   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

    Venue:Hamilton, New Zealand  

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  • Selecting the Tuning Parameter of the l1 Trend Filter International conference

    Hiroshi Yamada

    2015 HEU-HU-SMU Tripartite Conference  2015.3 

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    Language:English   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

    Venue:Singapore  

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  • A Practical Method for Selecting the Tuning Parameter of the l1 Trend Filter International conference

    Hiroshi Yamada

    2014 Hitotsubashi-Sogang Conference on Econometrics  2014.12 

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    Venue:Seoul, Republic of Korea  

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  • Estimating the Time-Varying NAIRU and the Phillips Curve Slope Simultaneously International conference

    Hiroshi Yamada

    SMU-NTU-HUE-HU International Conference on Economics and Econometrics  2014.3 

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    Venue:Hiroshima, Japan  

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Research Projects

  • 罰則項付き最小2乗法で与えられるフィルターのブースト化

    Grant number:26K04849  2026.4 - 2029.3

    日本学術振興会  科学研究費助成事業  基盤研究(C)

    山田 宏

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    Grant amount:\4550000 ( Direct Cost: \3500000 、 Indirect Cost:\1050000 )

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  • Overperformance of equal-weight portfolio and portfolio management

    Grant number:25K05166  2025.4 - 2028.3

    Japan Society for the Promotion of Science  Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research  Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

    TING HIANANN, Hiroshi Yamada

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    Grant amount:\4680000 ( Direct Cost: \3600000 、 Indirect Cost:\1080000 )

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  • Development and application of weighted adjacency matrix estimation methods based on multivariate data

    Grant number:23K01377  2023.4 - 2026.3

    Japan Society for the Promotion of Science  Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research  Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

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    Grant amount:\4680000 ( Direct Cost: \3600000 、 Indirect Cost:\1080000 )

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  • ファクターモデルと罰則化法を用いた時系列・パネルデータの計量分析:理論と応用

    Grant number:20H01484  2020.4 - 2023.3

    日本学術振興会  科学研究費助成事業  基盤研究(B)

    早川 和彦, 山田 宏, 山形 孝志, 植松 良公

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    Grant amount:\17550000 ( Direct Cost: \13500000 、 Indirect Cost:\4050000 )

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  • スペクトル・グラフ理論の空間計量経済学への応用

    Grant number:20K20759  2020 - 2022

    文部科学省  科学研究費助成事業(挑戦的研究(萌芽))  挑戦的研究(萌芽)

    山田宏

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    Grant amount:\6370000 ( Direct Cost: \4900000 、 Indirect Cost:\1470000 )

    本研究は,空間計量経済学に,スペクトル・グラフ理論[数学の一分野であるグラフ理論の中でもグラフ構造を反映する行列の固有値・固有ベクトルについて研究する学問分野]の知見を持ち込み,空間計量経済分析を発展させることをその目的とする。研究期間の2年目に当たる年度には主に3つの研究プロジェクトを進めた。(研究プロジェクトA) 空間自己相関とスペクトル・グラフ理論: Gearyのcは空間計量経済学を含む空間科学で頻繁に用いられる空間自己相関の代表的な指標である。本研究では,スペクトル・グラフ理論の分野で開発されたグラフ・フーリエ変換を使って,どういうグラフや空間データの時にGearyのcが0に近い値になるかを解明した。研究成果をまとめた論文はIF付国際学術雑誌に掲載された。(研究プロジェクトB) 空間トレンドフィルタリングに関する研究: 空間データから,Gearyのcの意味で正の空間自己相関の高い成分を抽出するための新たなフィルタリング手法を提案し,その手法を使うことにより空間データから正の空間自己相関の高い成分をうまく抽出できる様子を数値的・実証的に示した。加えて,既存のフィルタリング手法が提案した手法の特殊ケースになっていることなどを理論的に示した。研究成果をまとめた論文は現在有力な国際学術雑誌にて査読中である。(研究プロジェクトC) MoranのIと自己相関係数に関する研究: MoranのIはGearyのcとともに頻繁に用いられる空間自己相関の代表的な指標である。この研究では,時系列解析分野で用いられる自己相関係数がMoranのIの特殊ケースになっていることを示した。研究成果をまとめた論文は現在有力な国際学術雑誌にて査読中である。

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  • Statistical Analysis of High-Dimensional Data

    Grant number:16H03606  2016.4 - 2021.3

    Japan Society for the Promotion of Science  Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research  Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)

    YAMADA HIROSHI

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    Grant amount:\17940000 ( Direct Cost: \13800000 、 Indirect Cost:\4140000 )

    We have developed and applied new statistical procedures in the field of high-dimensional statistics, which studies data whose number of variables is relatively high. More precisely, we conducted the following three research projects: (1) statistical inference of high-dimensional multivariate linear regression model, (2) non-negative matrix factorization and filtering with regularization, and (3) instrumental variable estimation of factor model. Then, we obtained many results, one of which is a novel desired model selection criterion for possibly high-dimensional multivariate linear regression model. We have published most of the results of our research projects in international refereed journals.

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  • Bridge Filter: A New Filter Class

    Grant number:15K13010  2015.4 - 2018.3

    Japan Society for the Promotion of Science  Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research  Grant-in-Aid for Challenging Exploratory Research

    Yamada Hiroshi

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    Grant amount:\3120000 ( Direct Cost: \2400000 、 Indirect Cost:\720000 )

    This research project intends to introduce a new trend filtering method, which has the Hodrick-Prescott (HP) filtering method of Hodrick and Prescott (1997, Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 29, 1, 1-16) and the l1 trend filtering method of Kim et al. (2009, SIAM Review, 51, 339-360) as special cases. The relation between the HP filtering method, the l1 trend filtering method, and the new filtering method corresponds to the relation between the ridge regression, the lasso (least absolute shrinkage and selection operator) regression, and the bridge regression. For this reason, we refer to the new filtering method as bridge filtering method. The bridge filtering method enables us to estimate the trend component of a time series with less-sudden structural changes. In this project, after introducing the new filtering method, we show some of its properties, a method for specifying its tuning parameter, and an empirical illustration of how it may be applied.

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  • Business Cycle Synchronization and Developing Business Cycle Indicators

    Grant number:22530272  2010.4 - 2015.3

    Japan Society for the Promotion of Science  Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research  Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

    YAMADA HIROSHI

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    Grant amount:\4290000 ( Direct Cost: \3300000 、 Indirect Cost:\990000 )

    Forecasting the business cycle has been paid a lot of attention not only by specialist such as academic researchers and policy-makers but also by conventional citizen. Better forecasting requires sustained efforts to develop better business cycle indicators. To develop such indicators, this study conducted some examinations, which include (i) some studies on trend estimation to extract the business cycle frequency component and (ii) an evaluation of composite indicator’s component series.

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  • Business Cycle Analysis Using Band-Pass Filter

    Grant number:19530241  2007 - 2009

    Japan Society for the Promotion of Science  Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research  Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

    YAMADA Hiroshi

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    Grant amount:\3640000 ( Direct Cost: \2800000 、 Indirect Cost:\840000 )

    The Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) has developed a system of composite leading indicators (CLIs) for its member countries. On the other hand, the Japanese government has released another CLI for detecting the Japanese business cycle turning points. Both CLIs are widely used alternatives. These two CLIs may provide different business forecasts. When different forecasts occur, how can we interpret the discrepanCIes? This paper tried to answer this question by clarifying their relationships.

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  • Developing New Business Cycle Composite Indicators Using Wavelet Analysis

    Grant number:17530211  2005 - 2006

    Japan Society for the Promotion of Science  Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research  Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

    YAMADA Hiroshi, HONDA Yuzo, TOKUTSU Yasuyoshi

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    Grant amount:\3200000 ( Direct Cost: \3200000 )

    As a part of this research project, we evaluated the characteristics of the Japanese official composite index of the leading indicators (CLI) and its component series. More concretely, we applied the Baxter-King filter to the CLI and its component series individually, and extracted the business cycle part of each series of which frequency lies between 32 months and 128 months. Making use of the filtered series, we determined business turning points of them, and compared them with the business turning point dates officially determined by the Japanese government. Parts of our findings from the empirical investigations are:
    (a) The business cycle part in CLI leads the official business turning points by 9 months on average.
    (b) The overall performance of CLI is similar to that of Inventory Indexes of Final Demand Goods.
    (c) The leading months of most indicators for the turning point at 1991.2 are too long.
    We also pointed out that if we use the evaluated properties of component series, we may construct a composite leading indicator which has some desirable properties as requested. As an illustration we provided such a composite leading indicator, which leads the official business turning points roughly by 4 months and has the smaller sample variance than that of the Japanese official CLI.

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  • Analysis of stationary ans non-stationary economic time series with structural changes

    Grant number:14330005  2002 - 2004

    Japan Society for the Promotion of Science  Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research  Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)

    MAEKAWA Koichi, YAMADA Hiroshi, HISAMATSU Hiroyuku, TEE Kianhen

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    Grant amount:\7300000 ( Direct Cost: \7300000 )

    Our main research results are as follows :
    (1)We proposed a method of estimating break points in a time series regression with structural changes for I(1) and I(0) model By simulation it is shown that our method is superior to the existing methods.
    (2)We proposed a CUSUM test for structural change in variance equation in ARCH(∞)model and derived the asymptotic distribution of the test. We also showed performance of our test by simulation and applied the test to Yen/Doller exchange rate.
    (3)Through structural change analysis of economic time series we often encountered cases which seemed to have jump rather than structural changes. So we attracted jump diffusion process. We applied Kou's jump diffusion model and Barndorff-Nielsen and Shepard test for null of no jump. As the result we found that in many stock price processes there were jumps.
    (4)We dealt with high frequency data of Japanese stock data. and found inherent movement of the data such as seasonal change, jump, and so on within a day. We applied a marked point process to model such data. We compared performance of several models by simulation study.
    (5)We apply wavelet analysis to economic data including stock data and found that wavelet analysis were effective and more flexible than parametric model analysis in economic time series analysis.

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  • OLS残差の和分系列を用いた検定手法に関する研究

    Grant number:14730026  2002 - 2003

    日本学術振興会  科学研究費助成事業  若手研究(B)

    山田 宏

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    Grant amount:\2800000 ( Direct Cost: \2800000 )

    コーネル大学のVogelsang博士らが2000年のEconometrica誌において提案したOLS残差の和分系列を利用した検定方法を受けて新たな研究の展開を目指した。具体的には,多変量定常時系列過程の平均に関する仮説に関する研究を行った。多変量時系列の平均に関する仮説検定はベクトル自己回帰スペクトラル密度推定量を使って検定できることが知られている。しかし,この方法は,事前にベクトル自己回帰モデルのラグ次数を決定する必要があり,誤ったラグ次数を選択することにより,誤った結論を導いてしまう可能性がある。一方,今回の手法では,事前にラグ次数を決定する必要が無いという利点がある。まず,Vogelsang博士らのアイディアを使ってベクトル自己回帰モデルの平均に関する仮説検定統計量を導き,検定量の漸近分布を明示した。その後,検定量間の小標本における相対的優位性に関する情報を提供することを目的にモンテカルロ実験を行った。その結果,従来の手法に比べて,今回の検定量はサイズのパフォーマンスにおいて大変優れた特性があることがわかった。この結果を,論文にまとめ,オーストラリアで開催された査読付国際研究集会MODSIM 2003 International Congress on Modelling and Simulationにおいて口頭報告した。そのほか,関連する研究として,畠中道雄大阪大学名誉教授と共にブレーク付線形トレンドの共有(co-trending)構造推定に関する研究を行い,その研究成果をSpringer-Verlag Tokyoから出版した。

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