Updated on 2025/04/19

写真a

 
FUKUI,Keisuke
 
Organization
Faculty of Societal Safety Sciences Associate Professor
Title
Associate Professor
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Research Areas

  • Informatics / Statistical science

Research History

  • Kansai University   Faculty of Societal Safety Sciences Department of Safety Management

    2023.4

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  • Hiroshima University   Associate Professor

    2020.8 - 2023.3

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  • Osaka Medical College   Assistant Professor

    2018.4 - 2020.7

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  • 大阪国際がんセンター   がん対策センター   研究員

    2017.4 - 2018.3

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  • 大阪府立成人病センター   がん予防情報センター   研究員

    2015.4 - 2017.3

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Professional Memberships

  • 日本癌学会

    2020.5 - Present

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  • JAPANESE SOCIETY OF PUBLIC HEALTH

    2016.5 - Present

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  • JAPAN EPIDEMIOLOGICAL ASSOCIATION

    2015.3 - Present

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  • THE JAPAN STATISTICAL SOCIETY

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Committee Memberships

  • 広島県国民健康保険団体連合会   保健事業支援・評価委員会 委員  

    2022.6 - Present   

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    Committee type:Other

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  • 一般社団法人日本疫学会   広報委員会 メディア連携ワーキンググループ委員  

    2022.1 - Present   

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    Committee type:Academic society

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  • 東広島市   東広島市データ分析アドバイザー  

    2021.8 - Present   

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    Committee type:Municipal

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  • タキイ種苗株式会社   統計解析非常勤講師  

    2019.4 - Present   

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    Committee type:Other

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  • 大阪府   大阪府ヘルスアップ支援推進会議 委員  

    2018.11 - Present   

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    Committee type:Municipal

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  • 大阪府   大阪府ヘルスアップ支援事業(地域差見える化支援事業)選定委員  

    2018.10 - 2018.12   

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    Committee type:Municipal

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  • 株式会社東京カンテイ   統計技術指導員  

    2018.4 - 2019.3   

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    Committee type:Other

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  • 疫学の未来を語る若手の会   世話人  

    2017.2 - 2024.3   

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    Committee type:Academic society

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Papers

  • Flexible Detection of Birth Cohort Effects on Cancer Mortality Reviewed

    Masayoshi Ishihara, Keisuke Fukui, Tetsuji Tonda

    Smart Innovation, Systems and Technologies   273 - 283   2025.2

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    Authorship:Corresponding author   Publishing type:Part of collection (book)   Publisher:Springer Nature Singapore  

    DOI: 10.1007/978-981-97-7419-7_24

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  • Identification of novel clinical subtypes in patients with microscopic polyangiitis using cluster analysis: multicenter REVEAL cohort study Reviewed

    Ayana Okazaki, Shogo Matsuda, Takuya Kotani, Keisuke Fukui, Takaho Gon, Ryu Watanabe, Atsushi Manabe, Mikihito Shoji, Keiichiro Kadoba, Ryosuke Hiwa, Wataru Yamamoto, Motomu Hashimoto, Tohru Takeuchi

    Frontiers in Immunology   15   2025.1

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    Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher:Frontiers Media SA  

    Introduction

    This study aimed to identify new clinical phenotypes of microscopic polyangiitis (MPA) using a principal components analysis (PCA)-based cluster analysis.

    Methods

    A total of 189 patients with MPA between May 2005 and December 2021 were enrolled from a multicenter cohort in Japan (REVEAL cohort). Categorical PCA and cluster analysis were performed based on clinical, laboratory, and radiological findings. Clinical characteristics and outcomes, including all-cause mortality, respiratory-related mortality, end-stage renal disease (ESRD), and relapse were compared between each cluster.

    Results

    Eleven clinical variables were transformed into four components using categorical PCA and synthetic variables were created. Additionally, a cluster analysis was performed using these variables to classify patients with MPA into subgroups. Four distinct clinical subgroups were identified: Cluster 1 included the renal involvements and diffuse alveolar hemorrhage (DAH)-dominant group (N=33). Cluster 2 comprised the elderly onset systemic inflammation group (N=75). Cluster 3 included patients in the younger-onset limited-organ disease group (N=45). Cluster 4 was comprised of an ILD-predominant group without kidney involvement (N=36). 61 patients died during follow-up, with 32 dying of respiratory-related causes. Additionally, 19 patients developed ESRD and 70 relapsed. Cluster 1 showed the worst ESRD-free survival and relapse rates, whereas Cluster 2 showed the worst overall survival and respiratory-related death-free survival rates among the four groups.

    Conclusions

    Our study identified four unique subgroups with different MPA outcomes. Individualized treatments for each subgroup may be required to improve the prognosis of MPA.

    DOI: 10.3389/fimmu.2024.1450153

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  • Long-term outcomes of endoscopic resection of superficial esophageal squamous cell carcinoma in late-elderly patients. Reviewed International journal

    Katsunori Matsueda, Seiji Kawano, Keisuke Fukui, Shoichiro Hirata, Takuya Satomi, Shoko Inoo, Kenta Hamada, Yoshiyasu Kono, Masaya Iwamuro, Yoshiro Kawahara, Motoyuki Otsuka

    Journal of gastroenterology and hepatology   2024.10

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    BACKGROUND AND AIM: As the population ages, the number of elderly patients with superficial esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) is increasing. We aimed to clarify the indications for endoscopic resection (ER) in late-elderly patients with ESCC in terms of life expectancy. METHODS: Patients aged ≥75 years who underwent ER for ESCC at our institution from January 2005 to December 2018 were enrolled. Clinical data, including the Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status, American Society of Anesthesiologists physical status (ASA-PS), Charlson comorbidity index, and prognostic nutritional index (PNI), were collected at the time of ER. The main outcome measure was overall survival (OS). RESULTS: Two hundred eight consecutive patients were enrolled. The patients' median age was 78 years (range, 75-89 years). The 5-year follow-up rate was 88.5% (median follow-up period, 6.6 years). The 5-year OS rate was 79.2% (95% confidence interval [CI], 72.2-84.8), and 5-year net survival standardized for age, sex, and calendar year was 1.04 (95% CI, 0.98-1.09). In the multivariate analysis, an ASA-PS of 3 (hazard ratio, 2.45; 95% CI, 1.16-5.17) and PNI of <44.0 (hazard ratio, 2.73; 95% CI, 1.38-5.40) were independent prognostic factors. When neither of these factors was met, the 5-year OS rate was 87.8% (95% CI, 80.0-92.9), and 5-year net survival was 1.08 (95% CI, 1.02-1.14). CONCLUSIONS: ER for ESCC in late-elderly patients may improve life expectancy. ER is recommended in patients with a good ASA-PS and PNI.

    DOI: 10.1111/jgh.16764

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  • Ridge parameter optimization using a modified Cp statistic in multivariate generalized ridge regression for the GMANOVA model Reviewed

    Hirokazu Yanagihara, Isamu Nagai, Keisuke Fukui, Yuta Hijikawa

    Procedia Computer Science   225   1651 - 1660   2023.12

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    Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher:Elsevier BV  

    DOI: 10.1016/j.procs.2023.10.154

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  • Impact of cancer and other causes of death on mortality of cancer patients: A study based on Japanese population-based registry data. Reviewed International journal

    Hadrien Charvat, Keisuke Fukui, Tomohiro Matsuda, Kota Katanoda, Yuri Ito

    International journal of cancer   153 ( 6 )   1162 - 1171   2023.9

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    Cancer registry data provide a very important source of information for improving our understanding of the epidemiology of various cancers. In this work, we estimated the 5-year crude probabilities of death from cancer and from other causes for five common cancers, namely stomach, lung, colon-rectum, prostate and breast, in Japan, using population-based registry data. Based on data on 344 676 patients diagnosed with one of these cancers between 2006 and 2008 in 21 prefectures participating in the Monitoring of Cancer Incidence in Japan (MCIJ) and followed-up for at least 5 years, we used a flexible excess hazard model to compute the crude probabilities of death for different combinations of sex, age and stage at diagnosis. For tumours diagnosed at the distant stage, as well as for regional lung tumours, the vast majority of deaths at 5 years in cancer patients were attributable to the disease itself (although this proportion was only around 60% in older prostate cancer patients). For localised and most regional tumours, the impact of other causes of death on the total mortality increased with age at diagnosis, especially for localised breast, colorectal and gastric cancer. By allowing the partition of the mortality experience of cancer patients into a cancer- and an other-cause-specific component, crude probability of death estimates provide insight into how the impact of cancer on mortality might differ among populations with different background mortality risks. This might be useful for informing discussions between clinicians and patients about treatment options.

    DOI: 10.1002/ijc.34610

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  • Cost-effectiveness of preventive aspirin use and intensive downstaging polypectomy in patients with familial adenomatous polyposis: A microsimulation modeling study. Reviewed International journal

    Eiko Saito, Michihiro Mutoh, Hideki Ishikawa, Kenichi Kamo, Keisuke Fukui, Megumi Hori, Yuri Ito, Yichi Chen, Byron Sigel, Masau Sekiguchi, Osamu Hemmi, Kota Katanoda

    Cancer medicine   12 ( 18 )   19137 - 19148   2023.8

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    OBJECTIVE: Although there is increasing evidence to suggest the cost-effectiveness of aspirin use to prevent colorectal cancer (CRC) in the general population, no study has assessed cost-effectiveness in patients with familial adenomatous polyposis (FAP), who are at high risk of developing CRC. We examined the cost-effectiveness of preventive use of low-dose aspirin in FAP patients who had undergone polypectomy in comparison with current treatment practice. DESIGN: We developed a microsimulation model that simulates a hypothetical cohort of the Japanese population with FAP for 40 years. Three scenarios were created based on three intervention strategies for comparison with no intervention, namely intensive downstaging polypectomy (IDP) of colorectal polyps at least 5.0 mm in diameter, IDP combined with low-dose aspirin, and total proctocolectomy with ileal pouch-anal anastomosis (IPAA). Cost-effective strategies were identified using a willingness-to-pay threshold of USD 50,000 per QALY gained. RESULTS: Compared with no intervention, all strategies resulted in extended QALYs (21.01-21.43 QALYs per individual) and showed considerably reduced colorectal cancer mortality (23.35-53.62 CRC deaths per 1000 individuals). Based on the willingness-to-pay threshold, IDP with low-dose aspirin was more cost-effective than the other strategies, with an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of $57 compared with no preventive intervention. These findings were confirmed in both one-way sensitivity analyses and probabilistic sensitivity analyses. CONCLUSION: This study suggests that the strategy of low-dose aspirin with IDP may be cost-effective compared with IDP-only or IPAA under the national fee schedule of Japan.

    DOI: 10.1002/cam4.6488

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  • Interactions Between Junior High School Students and Young Children in Home Economics Class: An Examination From Students’ Feelings Toward Young Children Reviewed

    Yu ITO, Keisuke FUKUI, Ryoya ODA

    The Japan Society of Home Economics   74 ( 7 )   1 - 15   2023.8

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  • デジタル・リーディングにおけるスクロール方略の分類と判別アルゴリズムの検討 Reviewed

    尾原 健太, 氏間 和仁, 小田 凌也, 福井 敬祐

    日本教育工学会論文誌   47 ( 2 )   197 - 205   2023.7

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  • 都道府県別の社会経済状況を測る合成指標の開発:健康寿命の都道府県間格差対策に向けて Reviewed

    片岡葵, 井上勇太, 西岡大輔, 佐藤倫治, 福井敬祐, 伊藤ゆり, 近藤尚己

    厚生の指標   70 ( 6 )   9 - 18   2023.6

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    Language:Japanese   Publisher:(一財)厚生労働統計協会  

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  • Modified $$C_p$$ Criterion in Widely Applicable Models Reviewed

    Hirokazu Yanagihara, Isamu Nagai, Keisuke Fukui, Yuta Hijikawa

    Intelligent Decision Technologies   173 - 182   2023.5

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    Publishing type:Part of collection (book)   Publisher:Springer Nature Singapore  

    DOI: 10.1007/978-981-99-2969-6_15

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  • The ergonomic relationship between hand size and mesh fixation difficulty when using endoscopic hernia repair staplers based on a questionnaire survey Reviewed

    Emiko Kono, Kohei Taniguchi, Keisuke Fukui, Yuri Ito, Sang-Woong Lee, Yoshiro Imai, Kazuhisa Uchiyama

    Bulletin of Osaka Medical and Pharmaceutical University   69 ( 1 )   2023

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  • Local Recurrence After Endoscopic Resection of Sessile Serrated Lesions: A Multicenter Prospective Study by the Osaka Gut Forum Reviewed International journal

    Satoki Shichijo, Shinjiro Yamaguchi, Dai Nakamatsu, Takanori Inoue, Masanori Nakahara, Hideharu Ogiyama, Takuya Yamada, Kazuro Kinoshita, Ryu Ishihara, Tomoki Michida, Tsutomu Nishida, Yoshiki Tsujii, Yoshito Hayashi, Shinichiro Shinzaki, Keisuke Fukui, Yuri Ito, Masanori Kitamura, Keiichiro Honma, Eiichi Morii, Tetsuo Takehara

    Journal of Gastroenterology and Hepatology   37 ( 12 )   2306 - 2312   2022.10

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    BACKGROUND AND AIM: Sessile serrated lesions (SSLs) act as precursors to colorectal cancer, sometimes harbor carcinomas, and are sometimes incompletely resected. We aimed to evaluate local recurrence after endoscopic resection of SSL ≥10 mm. METHODS: This prospective, single-arm, observational study was performed at eight Japanese tertiary institutions. Colorectal lesions ≥10 mm were resected endoscopically, and the pathological diagnosis was either an SSL or hyperplastic polyp (HP). Follow-up colonoscopy was performed 1 year later, and the local recurrence was evaluated by biopsy. RESULTS: From October 2018 to September 2021, 104 cases with 123 lesions were registered. Among the pathologically diagnosed 105 SSLs and 18 HPs, 95 and 7 lesions were diagnosed as SSLs and HPs, respectively, by central pathological review. Among the 104 endoscopically diagnosed SSLs, 86 were diagnosed as SSLs, whereas among the 11 endoscopically diagnosed HPs, two were diagnosed as HPs by central pathological review (the rest were SSLs). Among the 95 patients with 113 lesions who underwent follow-up colonoscopy, resection scars were identified in 95 (84%) lesions. Three (3.1%; 95% confidence interval 0.6-8.7%) local recurrences were diagnosed pathologically among 98 pathologically diagnosed SSLs. Two (6%) local recurrences were diagnosed in patients with SSLs ≥20 mm. CONCLUSIONS: The local recurrence rate after endoscopic resection of SSLs ≥10 mm was 3.1%. Careful follow-up is recommended after endoscopic resection of large SSLs. Endoscopically diagnosed HPs ≥10 mm were sometimes pathologically diagnosed as SSL and should be considered for resection.

    DOI: 10.1111/jgh.16032

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  • Have restrictions on human mobility impacted suicide rates during the COVID-19 pandemic in Japan? Reviewed International journal

    Tatsuhiko Anzai, Kohtaro Kikuchi, Keisuke Fukui, Yuri Ito, Kunihiko Takahashi

    Psychiatry Research   317   114898 - 114898   2022.10

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    During the COVID-19 pandemic in Japan, various measures have been implemented to prevent the spread of infection, including restrictions on human mobility. A dynamic fluctuation in the number of suicides has been observed during this period. The question is whether the increase/decrease in suicides during the pandemic is related to changes in human mobility. To answer the same, we estimated incidence rate ratios (IRR) of suicide for changes in human mobility using the relative number of suicides by month from March 2020 to September 2021, based on the same months in 2019 as reference. The IRR of suicide during the pandemic were significantly lower in the months when mobility decreased-in both the previous and current month-than in the months when mobility was stable; the IRR of suicide were statistically higher in the months with increased mobility compared with the stable months. The burden from a decrease in one's mobility, which might lead to an increase in suicide, may not occur immediately, as seen in the delayed effects of unemployment. It may be important to investigate people's mental health and stress levels after pandemic restrictions were relaxed. The findings may help practitioners and families consider the timing of intervention.

    DOI: 10.1016/j.psychres.2022.114898

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  • 都道府県別にみるがん年齢調整死亡率の推移予測ツールの開発 Reviewed

    福井敬祐, 伊藤ゆり, 片野田耕太

    厚生の指標   62 ( 5 )   1 - 6   2022.5

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    Authorship:Lead author, Corresponding author   Language:Japanese   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher:(一財)厚生労働統計協会  

    目的 がん死亡の経時変化のモニタリングはがん対策の計画の策定・評価の各場面において,重要な役割を担う。一方で,経時変化のモニタリングには複雑な数理モデリングやデータ解析が必要となるため,各自治体でがん対策の策定・評価を行う実務者が実行するのは容易ではない。本研究では,公的統計を用いて,各自治体の担当者が利用可能なツールの作成とその概要について紹介することを目的とした。方法 都道府県別の人口動態統計および国勢調査から取得した,1995〜2018年のがん死亡データおよび人口データと国立社会保障・人口問題研究所提供の予測人口データから作成した2019〜2030年の各都道府県予測人口を用いた。これらのデータを基に,Nordpred解析を実行するツールをR言語により作成しWeb上に提供した。結果 本研究で作成したツールでは様々な設定に基づいて,2030年までの各都道府県のがん死亡率の推移と予測値を算出することが可能である。作成したツールを用いることで専門性の高い解析作業なしに,柔軟ながん死亡率の分析が可能となり,迅速ながん対策の策定・評価への活用が期待される。作成したツールはNordpredによるがん死亡率経時変動予測(https://fukui-ke-0507.shinyapps.io/JCanMorTrend/)より利用可能である。結論 医療・保健政策現場におけるEvidence Based Policy Making,Evidence Based Medicineを促進するには,データの利活用を避けることができないが,データ解析技術等の習得には多大な労力を要する。本研究で作成したWeb applicationツールの利用を通じて,様々な保健医療政策において,データに基づく意思決定の支援を促進していくことが求められる。(著者抄録)

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  • Persistence of mental health deterioration among people living alone during the COVID-19 pandemic: a periodically-repeated longitudinal study. Reviewed

    Hiroyuki Kikuchi, Masaki Machida, Itaru Nakamura, Reiko Saito, Yuko Odagiri, Noritoshi Fukushima, Tomoko Takamiya, Shiho Amagasa, Keisuke Fukui, Takako Kojima, Hidehiro Watanabe, Shigeru Inoue

    Journal of epidemiology   32 ( 7 )   345 - 353   2022.4

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    BackgroundThis longitudinal study aimed to investigate how psychological distress levels changed from early to middle phases of the new coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic depending on the living arrangements of individuals.MethodAn internet-based, longitudinal survey of 2,400 Japanese people was conducted every 5-6 weeks between February 2020 and January 2021. The presence of severe psychological distress (SPD) was measured using the Kessler's psychological distress scale. Living arrangements were classified into two groups, i.e. living alone or living with others. Mixed-effects logistic regression analysis was performed to assess whether changes in SPD status were different depending on living arrangements.ResultsOf 2400 respondents, 446 (18.5%) lived alone. Although the proportion of SPD in both individuals living alone and those living with others increased to the same extent in the early phase of the pandemic, however, after early phase of pandemic, the distress levels decreased in the group living with others, compared with the group living alone, which remained high. The odds ratio (OR) of developing SPD in interaction term with survey phases tended to be higher among those who lived alone than those who lived with others in Phase 6 (OR: 1.89, CI: 0.99-3.64) and Phase 7 (OR:1.88, CI: 0.97-3.63)ConclusionsDuring the COVID-19 pandemic, those living alone are persistently at a higher risk of SPD compared to those living with others. Effective countermeasures targeting those living alone such as enhancing online communication or providing psychological therapies are essential.

    DOI: 10.2188/jea.JE20210397

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  • How much can screening reduce colorectal cancer mortality in Japan? Scenario-based estimation by microsimulation. Reviewed International journal

    Ken-Ichi Kamo, Keisuke Fukui, Yuri Ito, Tomio Nakayama, Kota Katanoda

    Japanese journal of clinical oncology   52 ( 3 )   221 - 226   2021.12

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    BACKGROUND: Screening is one of the effective interventions for the reduction of colorectal cancer mortality. Though the Japanese government recommends faecal occult blood test and colonoscopy as a follow-up examination following a diagnosis, both participation rates have not been so high and the national mortality rate has not shown a clear decreasing trend. METHODS: Microsimulation models simulate the life histories of a large population of individuals under various scenarios. In this study, we applied a microsimulation model to estimate the reduction of colorectal cancer mortality based on screening scenarios. RESULTS: The effect of reducing the age-standardized mortality rate for colorectal cancer was estimated at 9.4% for men and 6.0% for women under the scenario which calls for 50% participation in faecal occult blood test and 90% participation of follow-up examination. This scenario corresponds to the goal setting for screening in the third-term of the Basic Plan to Promote Cancer Control Programs in Japan. CONCLUSIONS: Our microsimulation model was found to be useful in estimating the mortality reduction effect of cancer control policy. Such modelling techniques can be utilized to develop effective and optimal cancer control programs.

    DOI: 10.1093/jjco/hyab195

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  • [A Systematic Review of Clinical and Epidemiological Studies Using Record Linkage Data between Hospital Based Cancer Registries and Biospecimen Data]. Reviewed

    Aoi Kataoka, Masato Ota, Kohei Taniguchi, Kazumasa Komura, Keisuke Fukui, Yuri Ito

    Gan to kagaku ryoho. Cancer & chemotherapy   48 ( 12 )   1469 - 1474   2021.12

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    INTRODUCTION: Recently, registry-based cancer research linking biobanks with clinical information has become practical. In fact, hospital-based cancer registries(HBCR)are considered appropriate for basic medical information provision to link with biospecimen data since they can capture accurate information about cancer incidence and prognosis. The aim of this systematic review was to examine HBCR and biospecimen data uses in clinical and epidemiological studies. METHODS: We searched PubMed and Google Scholar for articles regarding HBCR and biospecimen data uses published before November 2019. Selected articles were summarized by study design into HBCR usage, biospecimen data usage, exposure, outcome, informed consent, and participant numbers. RESULT: Of the 2,767 identified articles, 148 studies were included in this review. In cohort studies, most HBCR usage was noted for patient selection, and most biospecimen data usage was factors affecting prognosis. Meanwhile, in case-control studies, most HBCR usage was noted for cancer incidence identification, and most biospecimen data usage was factors affecting cancer incidence. CONCLUSION: HBCR and biospecimen data usage in clinical and epidemiological studies were found to be different based on study design. Linkage of HBCR and biospecimen data will enable researchers to conduct clinical and epidemiological studies that correspond to varying research question types.

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  • Geographical socioeconomic inequalities in healthy life expectancy in Japan, 2010-2014: An ecological study. Reviewed

    Aoi Kataoka, Keisuke Fukui, Tomoharu Sato, Hiroyuki Kikuchi, Shigeru Inoue, Naoki Kondo, Tomoki Nakaya, Yuri Ito

    The Lancet Regional Health - Western Pacific   14   100204 - 100204   2021.9

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    Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher:Elsevier BV  

    Background: Area differences in life expectancy (LE) and healthy life expectancy (HLE) in large geographical units have been monitored around the world. Area characteristics may be based on culture, history, socioeconomic status and discrimination in smaller geographical units, so it is important to consider these when looking at health inequality. We aimed to evaluate LE, HLE, and non-healthy life expectancy (NHLE) in 1707 municipalities using Areal Deprivation Index (ADI) in Japan for the first time. Methods: We calculated the observed LE, HLE, and NHLE using death, population, and Long-term care insurance data for 2010-2014 and applied the variance weighted least squares model to estimate LE, HLE, and NHLE by 100 percentiles using the standardized ADI. Findings: The estimated LE, HLE, and NHLE became lower as the deprivation index worsened: the differences between the most and least deprived areas for HLE were 2·49 years for LE and 2·32 years for HLE in males; 1·22 years for LE and 0·93 years for HLE in females. The observed LE and HLE in the most deprived areas were much lower than other areas. Interpretation: Using ADI has enabled us to see the disparity within municipalities precisely. LE and HLE outlier for the 100th percentile might be linked to historical areal deprivation and marginalization. Precise monitoring of socioeconomic status-based health inequalities could help manage these inequalities by identifying the groups most in need of intervention.

    DOI: 10.1016/j.lanwpc.2021.100204

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  • Coordinate optimization for generalized fused Lasso Reviewed

    M. Ohishi, K. Fukui, K. Okamura, Y. Itoh, H. Yanagihara

    Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods   50 ( 24 )   1 - 19   2021.7

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    Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher:Informa UK Limited  

    DOI: 10.1080/03610926.2021.1931888

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  • Microsimulation model for evaluating the effect of cancer control program: example for colorectal cancer Reviewed

    Kamo Ken-ichi, Fukui Keisuke, Sakamoto Wataru, Ito Yuri

    Japanese Journal of Biometrics   41 ( 2 )   93 - 115   2021.5

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    Language:Japanese   Publisher:The Biometric Society of Japan  

    <p>In this paper, we implement a micro-simulation (MS) model for colorectal cancer and report the process of the MS model applying to Japanese data. As an advantage of MS, it is possible to evaluate the effects of interventional cancer control program based on various scenario setting. Although there are many advanced MS projects in policy making in other countries, they are still on the way of developing in Japan. Then, we have tried to construct a colorectal cancer MS model in Japan. The purpose of this paper is to describe the process of colorectal cancer MS in Japan as a useful manual for future reference, and to introduce an on-going research project and future possibility of research extensions.</p>

    DOI: 10.5691/jjb.41.93

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  • Sites of blood collection and topical antiseptics associated with contaminated cultures: prospective observational study. Reviewed International journal

    Koshi Ota, Koji Oba, Keisuke Fukui, Yuri Ito, Emi Hamada, Naomi Mori, Masahiro Oka, Kanna Ota, Yuriko Shibata, Akira Takasu

    Scientific reports   11 ( 1 )   6211 - 6211   2021.3

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    We aimed to determine whether puncture sites for blood sampling and topical disinfectants are associated with rates of contaminated blood cultures in the emergency department (ED) of a single institution. This single-center, prospective observational study of 249 consecutive patients aged ≥ 20 years proceeded in the ED of a university hospital in Japan during 6 months. Pairs of blood samples were collected for aerobic and anaerobic culture from all patients in the ED. Physicians selected puncture sites and topical disinfectants according to their personal preference. We found 50 (20.1%) patients with potentially contaminated blood cultures. Fifty-six (22.5%) patients were true bacteremia and 143 (57.4%) patients were true negatives. Multivariate analysis associated more frequent contamination when puncture sites were disinfected with povidone-iodine than with alcohol/chlorhexidine (adjusted risk difference, 12.9%; 95% confidence interval [CI] 8.8-16.9; P < 0.001). Sites of blood collection were also associated with contamination. Femoral and central venous with other sites were associated with contamination more frequently than venous sites (adjusted risk difference), 13.1% (95% CI 8.2-17.9; P < 0.001]) vs. 17.3% (95% CI 3.6-31.0; P = 0.013). Rates of contaminated blood cultures were significantly higher when blood was collected from femoral sites and when povidone-iodine was the topical antiseptic.

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  • Excess Mortality From Suicide During the Early COVID-19 Pandemic Period in Japan: A Time-Series Modeling Before the Pandemic. Reviewed

    Tatsuhiko Anzai, Keisuke Fukui, Tsubasa Ito, Yuri Ito, Kunihiko Takahashi

    Journal of epidemiology   31 ( 2 )   152 - 156   2021.2

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    BACKGROUND: Suicide amidst the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic is an important issue. In Japan, the number of suicides in April 2020 decreased by nearly 20% from that in 2019. To assess the impact of an infectious disease pandemic, excess mortality is often discussed. Our main purpose was evaluating excess mortality from suicide in Japan during the early pandemic period. METHODS: We used data on suicides collected by the National Police Agency of Japan until June 2020. We estimated excess mortality during the early pandemic period (March-June 2020) using a time-series model of the number of suicides before the pandemic. A quasi-Poisson model was employed for the estimation. We evaluated excess mortalities by the categories of age and sex, and by prefecture. RESULTS: No significant excess mortality was observed throughout the early pandemic; instead, a downward trend in the number of suicides for both sexes was noted. For males, negative values of excess mortalities below the lower bound of the 95% prediction interval were observed in April and May. All numbers of females during the period were included in the interval, and the excess mortalities in June were positive and higher than those in April and May. In Tokyo, the number of suicides was below the lower bound throughout the period. CONCLUSION: Our results suggest that various changes, such as communication, and social conditions amid the early COVID-19 pandemic induced a decrease in suicides in Japan. However, continuous monitoring is needed to evaluate the long-term effects of the pandemic on suicides.

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  • CCL2 Produced by CD68+/CD163+ Macrophages as a Promising Clinical Biomarker of Microscopic Polyanigiitis-Interstitial Lung Disease. Reviewed International journal

    Shogo Matsuda, Takuya Kotani, Hiroko Kuwabara, Takayasu Suzuka, Takao Kiboshi, Keisuke Fukui, Takaaki Ishida, Youhei Fujiki, Hideyuki Shiba, Kenichiro Hata, Takeshi Shod, Yoshinobu Hirose, Tohru Takeuchi

    Rheumatology (Oxford, England)   60 ( 10 )   4643 - 4653   2021.1

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    OBJECTIVES: Microscopic polyangiitis (MPA) is often complicated by interstitial lung disease (ILD); however, biomarkers that can be used to diagnose and predict the progression of MPA-ILD have not been identified. In this study we evaluated various serum biomarkers in MPA-ILD to assess their diagnostic and predictive performance. METHODS: We enrolled 49 patients with anti-neutrophil cytoplasmic antibody (ANCA)+ MPA and 10 healthy controls, with 32 of the MPA patients also presented ILD. The presence of ILD was assessed by high-resolution computed tomography and evaluated by ground-glass opacity and fibrosis score. We compared 16 biomarker profiles among MPA-ILD patients, those without ILD, and healthy controls and extracted biomarkers with higher levels in MPA-ILD groups to determine correlations with disease activity and other biomarkers. Three lung biopsies were examined by hematoxylin-eosin staining and immunostaining. RESULTS: Initial serum C-C motif chemokine ligand 2 (CCL2) levels were significantly higher in the MPA-ILD group than those of the MPA group, and were significantly higher in MPA-ILD patients 1 year after immunosuppressive therapy than those before treatment. Initial serum CCL2 levels positively correlated with an increased fibrosis score during the year after treatment and with initial serum platelet-derived growth factor levels. Immunohistochemical staining showed intense CCL2 signals in CD68+/CD163+ macrophages and metaplastic epithelial cells in MPA-ILD lungs. CONCLUSION: CCL2 is associated with MPA-ILD pathogenesis and suggested its potential efficacy as a useful marker for diagnosing and predicting MPA-ILD progression. Therefore, targeting CCL2 in alveolar CD68+/CD163+ macrophages might represent a therapeutic intervention in ANCA+ MPA-ILD.

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  • Evaluation of poor prognostic factors of respiratory related death in microscopic polyangiitis complicated by interstitial lung disease. Reviewed International journal

    Shogo Matsuda, Takuya Kotani, Takayasu Suzuka, Takao Kiboshi, Keisuke Fukui, Minako Wakama, Takaaki Ishida, Youhei Fujiki, Hideyuki Shiba, Koji Nagai, Kenichiro Hata, Takeshi Shoda, Yuri Ito, Shigeki Makino, Tohru Takeuchi

    Scientific reports   11 ( 1 )   1490 - 1490   2021.1

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    The prognosis of microscopic polyangiitis (MPA) with interstitial lung disease (ILD) is significantly worse than that of MPA without ILD. However, the clinical characteristics in MPA-ILD, especially poor prognostic factors, are not elucidated. We evaluated demographic, clinical, laboratory, and radiological findings, treatments, and outcomes of 80 patients with MPA, and investigated prognostic factors of respiratory-related death in patients with myeloperoxidase (MPO)-anti-neutrophil cytoplasmic antibody (ANCA) positive MPA-ILD. Ground-glass opacity and fibrosis were evaluated as scores on high-resolution computed tomography (HRCT). The presence of ILD was consistent with a high risk of respiratory-related death (hazard ratio, 4.8; P = 0.04). Multivariable logistic regression analyses using propensity scoring showed right or left lower lobe fibrosis score to be significantly associated with respiratory-related death (P = 0.0005 and 0.0045, respectively). A right or left lower lobe fibrosis score ≥ 2, indicating the presence of honeycombing at 1 cm above the diaphragm, was determined to be the best cut-off value indicating a poor prognosis. The 5-year survival rate was significantly lower in patients with right or left lower lobe fibrosis score ≥ 2 (survival rates: 37% and 19%, respectively) than those with a score < 2 (71% and 68%, respectively) (P = 0.002 and 0.0007, respectively). These findings suggest that the presence of honeycomb lesions in bilateral lower lobes on chest HRCT was associated with respiratory-related death in patients with MPO-ANCA positive MPA-ILD.

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  • Changes in Psychological Distress During the COVID-19 Pandemic in Japan: A Longitudinal Study. Reviewed

    Hiroyuki Kikuchi, Masaki Machida, Itaru Nakamura, Reiko Saito, Yuko Odagiri, Takako Kojima, Hidehiro Watanabe, Keisuke Fukui, Shigeru Inoue

    Journal of epidemiology   30 ( 11 )   522 - 528   2020.11

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    BACKGROUND: This longitudinal study aimed to examine the changes in psychological distress of the general public from the early to community-transmission phases of the COVID-19 pandemic and to investigate the factors related to these changes. METHODS: An internet-based survey of 2,400 Japanese people was conducted in two phases: early phase (baseline survey: February 25-27, 2020) and community-transmission phase (follow-up survey: April 1-6, 2020). The presence of severe psychological distress (SPD) was measured using the Kessler's Six-scale Psychological Distress Scale. The difference of SPD percentages between the two phases was examined. Mixed-effects ordinal logistic regression analysis was performed to assess the factors associated with the change of SPD status between the two phases. RESULTS: Surveys for both phases had 2,078 valid respondents (49.3% men; average age, 50.3 years). In the two surveys, individuals with SPD were 9.3% and 11.3%, respectively, demonstrating a significant increase between the two phases (P = 0.005). Significantly higher likelihood to develop SPD were observed among those in lower (ie, 18,600-37,200 United States dollars [USD], odds ratio [OR] 1.95; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.10-3.46) and the lowest income category (ie, <18,600 USD, OR 2.12; 95% CI, 1.16-3.86). Furthermore, those with respiratory diseases were more likely to develop SPD (OR 2.56; 95% CI, 1.51-4.34). CONCLUSIONS: From the early to community-transmission phases of COVID-19, psychological distress increased among the Japanese. Recommendations include implementing mental health measures together with protective measures against COVID-19 infection, prioritizing low-income people and those with underlying diseases.

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  • Preference for Powered Versus Manual Endoscopic Linear Staplers Based on Surgeon’s Sex Reviewed International journal

    Emiko Kono, Kohei Taniguchi, Keisuke Fukui, Yuri Ito, Sang-Woong Lee, Keitaro Tanaka, Takeshi Ohdaira, Kazuhisa Uchiyama

    The American Surgeon   000313482095068 - 000313482095068   2020.9

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    DOI: 10.1177/0003134820950689

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  • Long-term trends in sex difference in bladder cancer survival 1975-2009: A population-based study in Osaka, Japan. Reviewed International journal

    Jo Aoe, Yuri Ito, Keisuke Fukui, Masashi Nakayama, Toshitaka Morishima, Isao Miyashiro, Tomotaka Sobue, Tomio Nakayama

    Cancer medicine   9 ( 19 )   7330 - 7340   2020.8

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    In Japan, a study using population-based cancer registry data from six prefectures revealed a difference in bladder cancer survival between men and women. However, the period of the study was limited to 1993-2006. The recent introduction of immune checkpoint inhibitors, which have proved to be effective for the treatment for bladder cancer, has led to a rising demand for analysis of long-term trends in net survival in order to accurately assess the effect of the new treatment. The aim of the present study was to examine long-term trends in sex difference in bladder cancer net survival using large-scale population-based cancer registry data from Osaka, Japan (17,500 cases from 1975 to 2009). We also evaluated sex difference in bladder cancer survival after adjustment for stage, histologic type, and other prognostic factors. We showed the long-term trend of five-year net survival for each stage and found that women had poorer five-year net survival than men for the whole study period. The risk of death from bladder cancer was higher among men than women even after adjusting for period at diagnosis, histologic type, stage, age group, and treatment (Excess hazard ratios: 1.17; 95% Confidence interval: 1.10-1.25).

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  • Long-term outcomes after endoscopic submucosal dissection for differentiated-type early gastric cancer that fulfilled expanded indication criteria: a prospective cohort study. Reviewed International journal

    Satoki Shichijo, Noriya Uedo, Takashi Kanesaka, Takashi Ohta, Kentaro Nakagawa, Yusaku Shimamoto, Masayasu Ohmori, Masamichi Arao, Taro Iwatsubo, Sho Suzuki, Kenshi Matsuno, Hiroyoshi Iwagami, Shuntaro Inoue, Noriko Matsuura, Akira Maekawa, Hiroko Nakahira, Sachiko Yamamoto, Yoji Takeuchi, Koji Higashino, Ryu Ishihara, Keisuke Fukui, Yuri Ito, Hiroyuki Narahara, Shingo Ishiguro, Hiroyasu Iishi

    Journal of gastroenterology and hepatology   36 ( 3 )   664 - 670   2020.7

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    BACKGROUND AND AIM: Endoscopic resection for early gastric cancer (EGC) is widely performed. However, there is still a paucity of strong evidence regarding long-term outcomes after endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD) for the expanded indication criteria of the Japanese guidelines (ver. 2010). METHODS: ESD was performed in patients with EGC that met the expanded indication criteria: (1) cT1a, differentiated-type EGC of 2 to 5 cm, ulcer-negative or (2) cT1a, differentiated-type EGC of ≤3 cm, ulcer-positive. Patients whose pathological examination fulfilled the curative resection criteria were then enrolled in this cohort study: negative vertical margin, negative lymphovascular invasion, and (1) pT1a, differentiated-type, and ulcer-negative; (2) pT1a, differentiated-type, ≤3 cm, and ulcer-positive; or (3) pT1b1 (<500 μm submucosal invasion), differentiated-type, and ≤3 cm. Patients with only a positive horizontal margin as a noncurative factor were included for follow-up. RESULTS: From September 2003 to February 2012, a total of 356 patients underwent ESD, and 214 were enrolled in the survival analysis. 120 patients (56%) had >2 cm in diameter and ulcer-negative lesions, and 94 (44%) had ≤3 cm and ulcer-positive lesions. The vital status at 5 years after ESD was confirmed in all (100%) patients. No local or metastatic recurrence was detected; however, 26 metachronous gastric cancers developed, and 1 patient died of metachronous gastric cancer. The 5-year disease-specific and overall survival rates were 99.5% (95% CI, 97.2%-100%) and 93.9% (95% CI, 89.8%-96.4%), respectively. CONCLUSION: ESD for EGC that fulfills the expanded criteria is feasible and shows favorable long-term outcomes.

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  • Rare cancers are not rare in Asia as well: The rare cancer burden in East Asia. Reviewed International journal

    Tomohiro Matsuda, Young-Joo Won, RuRu Chun-Ju Chiang, Jiwon Lim, Kumiko Saika, Keisuke Fukui, Wen-Chung Lee, Laura Botta, Alice Bernasconi, Annalisa Trama

    Cancer epidemiology   67   101702 - 101702   2020.6

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    INTRODUCTION: Epidemiologic information on rare cancers is scarce outside of the Western countries. The project "surveillance of rare cancers in Asia" (RARECAREnet Asia) provides, for the first time, the burden of rare cancers in some Asian countries based on the latest list. OBJECTIVES: 1) to assess whether the European list of rare cancers fits the Asian setting and 2) to compare the incidences of rare cancers between Europe and Asian countries. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Population-based cancer registry data on patients diagnosed from 2011 to 2015 in Japan, Korea, and Taiwan and patients diagnosed from 2000 to 2007 in 94 European registries were analysed. The incidences for all cancers were calculated; they were then grouped into several tiers and families according to the rare cancer list, and whether cancers rare was examined. RESULTS: Rare cancer counts according to the list in the observed population were 196 in Japan, 203 in Korea, 198 in Taiwan, and 198 in the EU. The proportions of rare in overall incidence were 16.3% in Japan, 23.7% in Korea, 24.2% in Taiwan, and 22.2% in the EU. The numbers of newly diagnosed rare cancer cases in 2015 were 140,188 in Japan, 52,071 in Korea, and 24,147 in Taiwan. CONCLUSION: Most rare cancers in Europe were also rare in the Asian countries considered. The observed differences were due to well-known risk factors. The European definition and list of rare cancers appear to reflect well cancer incidence in East Asia.

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  • Effect of Shakuyaku-kanzo-to in patients with muscle cramps: A systematic literature review. Reviewed

    Koshi Ota, Keisuke Fukui, Eriko Nakamura, Masahiro Oka, Kanna Ota, Masahide Sakaue, Yohei Sano, Akira Takasu

    Journal of general and family medicine   21 ( 3 )   56 - 62   2020.5

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    Background: Previous clinical studies have reported that Shakuyaku-kanzo-to (SKT) has a therapeutic effect on muscle cramps, but few studies have clarified how SKT acts to treat muscle cramps. The aim of this study was to perform an updated systematic review of clinical trials for SKT in patients with muscle cramps. Methods: The literature was systematically reviewed to assess the effects of SKT in patients with muscle cramps. PubMed, Web of Science, Cochrane Library, Google Scholar, and Ichushi-Web were searched using the terms "Shakuyaku-kanzo-to" ("shakuyakukanzoto", etc), "clinical trials" and "muscle cramps". Two quality assessments were conducted independently by three authors. Data were extracted using a standardized extraction tool, and a qualitative synthesis of evidence was performed. Results: Three randomized controlled articles were identified and enrolled in this study. A systematic review, but not a meta-analysis, was performed because of the high heterogeneity and limited number of studies. In patients with liver cirrhosis, the odds ratio (OR) for improvement with SKT compared to placebo was 1.27 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.445-2.086) and compared to Goshajinkigan was 0.81 (95%CI, -1.734-0.114). The OR for improvement with SKT compared with eperisone hydrochloride in patients with lumbar spinal stenosis was 2.86 (95%CI, 0.980-4.744). Conclusions: Current evidence appears insufficient to allow a meta-analysis of the effects of SKT, but SKT might show efficacy in treating muscle cramps in patients with cirrhosis or lumbar spinal stenosis.

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  • Determinant factors on differences in survival for gastric cancer between the US and Japan using nationwide databases. Reviewed

    Yuri Ito, Isao Miyashiro, Takashi Ishikawa, Kohei Akazawa, Keisuke Fukui, Hitoshi Katai, Souya Nunobe, Ichiro Oda, Yoh Isobe, Shunichi Tsujitani, Hiroyuki Ono, Satoshi Tanabe, Takeo Fukagawa, Satoshi Suzuki, Yoshihiro Kakeji, Mitsuru Sasako, Anton Bilchik, Manabu Fujita

    Journal of epidemiology   31 ( 4 )   241 - 248   2020.4

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    BackgroundAlthough the incidence and mortality have decreased, gastric cancer (GC) is still a public health issue globally. An international study reported higher survival in Korea and Japan than other countries, including the US. We examined the determinant factors of the high survival in Japan, compared with the US.MethodsWe analysed data on 78,648 cases from the nationwide GC registration project, the Japanese Gastric Cancer Association (JGCA), from 2004-2007 and compared them with 16,722 cases from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program (SEER), a US population-based cancer registry data from 2004-2010. We estimated five-year relative survival and applied a multivariate excess hazard model to compare the two countries, considering the effect of number of lymph nodes (LNs) examined.ResultsFive-year relative survival in Japan was 81.0%, compared with 45.0% in the US. After controlling for confounding factors, we still observed significantly higher survival in Japan. Among N2 patients, a higher number of LNs examined showed better survival in both countries. Among N3 patients, the relationship between number of LNs examined and differences in survival between the two countries disappeared.ConclusionAlthough the wide differences in GC survival between Japan and US can be largely explained by differences in the stage at diagnosis, the number of LNs examined may also help to explain the gaps between two countries, which is related to stage migration.

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  • Exploration of pathomechanism using comprehensive analysis of serum cytokines in polymyositis/dermatomyositis-interstitial lung disease. Reviewed International journal

    Shogo Matsuda, Takuya Kotani, Takaaki Ishida, Keisuke Fukui, Youhei Fujiki, Takayasu Suzuka, Koji Nagai, Kenichiro Hata, Takeshi Shoda, Kentaro Isoda, Yuri Ito, Shigeki Makino, Tohru Takeuchi, Shigeki Arawaka

    Rheumatology (Oxford, England)   59 ( 2 )   310 - 318   2020.2

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    OBJECTIVES: To elucidate the serum cytokine profile and address the pathomechanism of interstitial lung disease (ILD) complicated with PM/DM. METHODS: Forty patients with PM/DM-ILD were enrolled, and principal components analysis and cluster analysis were performed to classify patients into subgroups. Additionally, we compared cytokine profiles between the survivors and dead patients and between anti-melanoma differentiation-associated gene 5 antibody- and anti-aminoacyl tRNA synthetase antibody-positive ILD patients. We also examined the association of various cytokines with disease activity indicators and prognosis of ILD. RESULTS: The principal components analysis data allowed classification of the cytokine profile into three groups: group 1, neutrophilic and M1-macrophage-driven cytokines; group 2, type 1 Th cell-driven and M2-macrophage-induced cytokines; and group 3, M2-macrophage-driven cytokines. Cluster analysis showed the presence of PM/DM-ILD patient groups with high or low levels of total cytokines. Ninety percent of patients who died of ILD were included in clusters with high cytokine levels. Serum cytokine levels of all groups were significantly higher in the anti-melanoma differentiation-associated gene 5 antibody-positive patients than in the anti-aminoacyl tRNA synthetase antibody-positive patients. Groups 1 and 2 significantly correlated with known factors for poor prognosis, such as serum ferritin levels and alveolar-arterial oxygen difference. Serum cytokine levels of patients in group 1 were significantly higher initially and at 2 and 4 weeks in those who died. CONCLUSION: These findings suggested that the activation of monocytes, macrophages and type 1 Th cells, and neutrophils play roles in the pathomechanism of PM/DM-ILD, and group 1 cytokines could be useful biomarkers for predicting prognosis of PM/DM-ILD.

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  • Does cold snare polypectomy completely resect the mucosal layer? A prospective single-center observational trial. Reviewed International journal

    Satoki Shichijo, Yoji Takeuchi, Masanori Kitamura, Mitsuhiro Kono, Yusaku Shimamoto, Hiromu Fukuda, Kentaro Nakagawa, Masayasu Ohmori, Masamichi Arao, Taro Iwatsubo, Hiroyoshi Iwagami, Kenshi Matsuno, Shuntaro Inoue, Noriko Matsuura, Hiroko Nakahira, Akira Maekawa, Takashi Kanesaka, Koji Higashino, Noriya Uedo, Keisuke Fukui, Yuri Ito, Shin-Ichi Nakatsuka, Ryu Ishihara

    Journal of gastroenterology and hepatology   35 ( 2 )   241 - 248   2020.2

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    BACKGROUND AND AIM: The true incidence of incomplete muscularis mucosa resection with cold snare polypectomy (CSP) is unknown. We examined the incidence of incomplete muscularis mucosa resection both with and without cold snare defect protrusion (CSDP). METHODS: We prospectively enrolled patients undergoing polypectomy for 4 to 9mm nonpedunculated polyps. We evaluated the presence of CSDP immediately following CSP and biopsied the CSDP or the center of the mucosal defect without CSDP. The presence of the muscularis mucosa and any residual polyp in the biopsies was evaluated histologically. The primary outcome was the incidence of incomplete mucosal layer resection defined as the presence of muscularis mucosa or residual polyp in the biopsies. RESULTS: From August 2017 to October 2018, 188 patients were screened, and 357 polyps were included. CSDP was detected in 122/355 (34%) evaluated mucosal defects. Excluding five lesions requiring hemostasis immediately following CSP, 352 mucosal defects were biopsied. After excluding 102 biopsies containing normal mucosa, we evaluated 250 biopsies. The overall incidence of incomplete mucosal layer resection was 63% (159/250), 76% (68/90) with CSDP and 57% (91/159) without CSDP (P < 0.01). Both univariate and multivariate analyses showed that size (≥ 6 mm), resection time (≥ 5 s), and serrated lesions were risk factors for CSDP. CONCLUSIONS: Cold snare defect protrusion (CSDP), which was present with 36%, was a good indicator for incomplete mucosal layer resection. Even in nonCSDP polypectomies, 57% of the mucosal layer was not removed completely. Thus, CSP should be used for intra-epithelial lesions only, and careful pretreatment evaluation is recommended.

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  • A Fast Optimization Method for Additive Model via Partial Generalized Ridge Regression Reviewed

    Keisuke Fukui, Mineaki Ohishi, Mariko Yamamura, Hirokazu Yanagihara

    Intelligent Decision Technologies   279 - 290   2020

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  • Trends in incidence and long-term survival of Japanese women with vulvar cancer: a population-based analysis. Reviewed

    Yusuke Tanaka, Yutaka Ueda, Mamoru Kakuda, Asami Yagi, Akiko Okazawa, Tomomi Egawa-Takata, Shinya Matsuzaki, Eiji Kobayashi, Kiyoshi Yoshino, Keisuke Fukui, Yuri Ito, Tomio Nakayama, Tadashi Kimura

    International journal of clinical oncology   24 ( 9 )   1137 - 1142   2019.9

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    OBJECTIVE: The incidence and long-term survival analysis for vulvar cancer, due to its rarity, has not been fully described in Asian population. The objective of the study is to determine the trends in incidence and long-term survival for vulvar cancer in a Japanese population, using a population-based cancer registry data in Osaka, Japan. METHODS: The age-standardized incidence rate of 389 cases of vulvar squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) diagnosed between 1976 and 2010 was calculated, using the 1985 model population of Japan. The annual percentage change (APC) of the age-standardized incidence was estimated by the joinpoint regression models. The 5- and 10-year relative survival of 290 cases with vulvar SCC diagnosed between 1976 and 2008 were analyzed, using a cohort or period approach. Using the 10-year relative survival, the conditional 5-year survival for patients who lived for some years after diagnosis was also calculated. RESULTS: We have found that the age-standardized incidence rate for vulvar cancer trended downward during the period of 1979-1992 (APC - 6.3%; 95% confidence interval (CI) [- 11.3% to - 1.0%]), whereas it trended upward from 1993 to 2010 (APC 1.9%; 95% CI [- 0.7% to 4.6%]). There was no statistically significant difference for the 5- and 10-year relative survival between the two periods of 1976-2000 and 2001-2008. A statistically significant increase in the conditional 5-year survival at 2 years after diagnosis was observed (48.4%; 95% CI [41.1-55.3] versus 75.6%; 95% CI [64.0-83.9]). CONCLUSION: Despite an increasing trend in vulvar cancer incidence among Japanese population, the relative survival rate for vulvar cancer did not change over the 35 years of this study. We found that the conditional 5-year survival for vulvar cancer, as patients survived additional years, approached within reach of 100%. These data can provide valuable information for both patients and clinicians.

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  • The role of ultrasound imaging in adult patients with testicular torsion: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Reviewed

    Koshi Ota, Keisuke Fukui, Koji Oba, Akihiro Shimoda, Masahiro Oka, Kanna Ota, Masahide Sakaue, Akira Takasu

    Journal of medical ultrasonics (2001)   46 ( 3 )   325 - 334   2019.7

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    PURPOSE: Our aim was to determine the accuracy of ultrasound (US) examination-based testicular torsion diagnosis in adult patients with acute scrotal pain. METHODS: A comprehensive electronic search was performed using internet retrieval systems up to 5 August 2018 in accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analyses (PRISMA) guidelines. The quality of eligible studies was assessed using Quality Assessment for Studies of Diagnostic Accuracy (QUADAS-2). The diagnostic value of ultrasound in patients with testicular torsion was evaluated using pooled estimates of sensitivity, specificity, likelihood ratio, and diagnostic odds ratio, as well as the summary receiver operating characteristics curve. RESULTS: Twenty-six studies with 2116 patients were included in the study. Overall diagnostic sensitivity was 0.86 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.79-0.91] and specificity was 0.95 (95% CI: 0.92-0.97). Subgroup analysis of prospective studies showed pooled sensitivity of ultrasound for testicular torsion was 0.94 (95% CI 0.83-0.98), and pooled specificity was 0.98 (95% CI 0.94-1.00). Recent studies after 2010 showed diagnostic sensitivity of 0.95 (95% CI 0.84-0.99) and specificity of 0.98 (95% CI 0.93-0.99). CONCLUSIONS: This meta-analysis demonstrated that ultrasound represents an effective imaging modality for diagnosing testicular torsion in adult patients with acute scrotal pain.

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  • Epidemiologic and Clinical Analysis of Cervical Cancer Using Data from the Population-Based Osaka Cancer Registry. Reviewed International journal

    Asami Yagi, Yutaka Ueda, Mamoru Kakuda, Yusuke Tanaka, Sayaka Ikeda, Shinya Matsuzaki, Eiji Kobayashi, Toshitaka Morishima, Isao Miyashiro, Keisuke Fukui, Yuri Ito, Tomio Nakayama, Tadashi Kimura

    Cancer research   79 ( 6 )   1252 - 1259   2019.3

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    Cervical cancer screening rate is extremely low and the governmental recommendation of HPV vaccine has been suspended for 5 years in Japan. Here, we utilized data from the Osaka Cancer Registry, collected between 1976 and 2012, to evaluate cervical cancer trends in Japan. Age-adjusted incidence, relative survival, and conditional survival rates were calculated using multiple imputation methods and period analyses in 25,826 cervical cancer cases. Association of survival rates and clinical factors, including patients' age, clinical stage, and treatment procedures, were also analyzed. A trend for significantly decreasing age-adjusted incidence of cervical cancer (per 100,000) began in 1976 but reversed after 2000, increasing significantly to date (annual percent change = 3.8, 95% confidence interval, 2.7-4.8; age-adjusted rate: 28.0 in 1976, 9.1 in 2000, 14.1 in 2012). The 10-year relative survival rate improved significantly after 2002, especially in cases of "localized" and "adjacent organs" disease; this was likely due to the introduction of concurrent chemotherapy and radiation. The conditional 5-year relative survival rate improved significantly yearly until the fourth survival year. In the surgery-based group, we observed no age-dependent differences in outcomes. Unexpectedly, however, prognosis for younger age groups was poorer in the radiation-based treatment group. These results indicate that although relative survival rates have recently increased, treatment for more advanced cases with distant metastasis requires further improvement. In addition, this study is the first to suggest that age might be an important predictor of radiotherapy resistance in cervical cancer.Significance: A large-cohort analysis of cervical cancer cases reveals that age-adjusted incidence in Japan has increased since 2000 and that age may negatively correlate with resistance to radiotherapy.

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  • Statistical inference for estimating the incidence of cancer at the prefectural level in Japan. Reviewed

    Tanabe R, Kamo KI, Fukui K, Imori S

    Japanese journal of clinical oncology   2019.3

  • A population-based cohort study to evaluate the effectiveness of lung cancer screening using low-dose CT in Hitachi city, Japan. Reviewed International journal

    Takeshi Nawa, Keisuke Fukui, Tomio Nakayama, Motoyasu Sagawa, Tohru Nakagawa, Hideo Ichimura, Tetsuya Mizoue

    Japanese journal of clinical oncology   49 ( 2 )   130 - 136   2019.2

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    Objectives: To evaluate the effectiveness of lung cancer screening using low-dose computed tomography for the general population, we conducted a retrospective cohort study of screening for participants among Hitachi residents. Materials and Methods: Citizens aged 50-74 who underwent low-dose computed tomography screening at least once during 1998-2006 were defined as the computed tomography group, and those who underwent X-ray screening at least once during the same period, but did not receive low-dose computed tomography screening throughout the follow-up period, were defined as the XP group. We investigated the lung cancer incidence rate, mortality rate and all-cause mortality rate for both groups from the first lung cancer screening to the end of 2012. Results: In the computed tomography group (17 935 residents; 9790 males and 8145 females), 273 cases of lung cancer (1.5%), 72 cases of lung cancer death (0.4%), and 885 cases of all-cause death (4.9%) were observed. On the other hand, 164 cases (1.1%) of lung cancer, 80 cases (0.5%) of lung cancer death and 1188 cases (7.6%) of all-cause death were observed in the XP group (15 548 residents; 6526 males and 9022 females). The hazard ratios of the computed tomography group to the XP group adjusted for gender, age and smoking history were 1.23 for lung cancer incidence rate, 0.49 for lung cancer mortality rate and 0.57 for all-cause mortality rate. Non-smokers and light smokers (<30 pack-years) had a significantly lower lung cancer mortality (0.41 and 0.21, respectively). Conclusion: low-dose computed tomography screening for a population including non-smokers and light smokers may be effective.

    DOI: 10.1093/jjco/hyy185

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  • Trends and projections of cancer mortality in Osaka, Japan from 1977 to 2032. Reviewed

    Fukui K, Ito Y, Nakayama T

    Japanese journal of clinical oncology   2019.2

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  • Simulation Models in Gastric Cancer Screening: A Systematic Review Reviewed International journal

    Ayako Matsuda, Kumiko Saika, Rina Tanaka, Yuri Ito, Keisuke Fukui, Ken-ichi Kamo

    Asian Pacific journal of cancer prevention : APJCP   19 ( 12 )   3321 - 3334   2018.12

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    Background: Together with such high-quality approaches as randomized controlled trials and large-scale cohort
    studies, simulation models are often employed to evaluate the effect of cancer screening methods and decide on
    their appropriateness. This study aimed to evaluate all effects of gastric cancer screening that have been assessed
    using simulation models, including cost-effectiveness, mortality reduction, and early-stage detection. Methods: We
    performed a systematic review using PubMed and Web of Science. We evaluated the effect of screening related to
    cost, such as incremental cost-effectiveness and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios; we also separately assessed
    effects other than cost, such as quality-adjusted life-years, number of deaths prevented, life-years saved, relative risk
    of mortality from gastric cancer, life expectancy, and incidence reduction. The methods targeted for evaluation were
    Helicobacter pylori testing or endoscopy. Results: We identified 19 studies dealing with simulation models in gastric
    cancer screenings: 14 examined H. pylori screening and 7 focused on endoscopy. Among those studies, two assessed
    both H. pylori and endoscopy screening. Most of the studies adopted a Markov model, and all the studies evaluated
    cost-effectiveness. Of the 14 H. pylori screening studies, 13 demonstrated cost-effectiveness and 11 also showed good
    results other than cost-effectiveness, such as extension of life-years and increase in early-stage detection. In three of the
    five endoscopy studies, the target population was patients; all five studies obtained good results for cost-effectiveness
    and four observed good results other than for cost-effectiveness. Conclusions: In this study, we showed that the H.
    pylori screening test was cost-effective in terms of simulation model investigations. However, the H. pylori screening
    test should not ordinarily be recommended since there is insufficient evidence that it reduces gastric cancer mortality.
    In Japan, simulation modeling should be employed to plan for cancer control, and the appropriate use of simulation
    models should be examined for future use.

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  • Number of Nodules but not Size of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Can Predict Refractoriness to Transarterial Chemoembolization and Poor Prognosis. Reviewed

    Katayama K, Imai T, Abe Y, Nawa T, Maeda N, Nakanishi K, Wada H, Fukui K, Ito Y, Yokota I, Ohkawa K

    Journal of clinical medicine research   10 ( 10 )   765 - 771   2018.10

  • Efficacy of vonoprazan in prevention of bleeding from endoscopic submucosal dissection-induced gastric ulcers: a prospective randomized phase II study Reviewed

    Kenta Hamada, Noriya Uedo, Yusuke Tonai, Masamichi Arao, Sho Suzuki, Taro Iwatsubo, Minoru Kato, Satoki Shichijo, Yasushi Yamasaki, Noriko Matsuura, Hiroko Nakahira, Takashi Kanesaka, Sachiko Yamamoto, Tomofumi Akasaka, Noboru Hanaoka, Yoji Takeuchi, Koji Higashino, Ryu Ishihara, Hiroyuki Okada, Hiroyasu Iishi, Keisuke Fukui, Toshio Shimokawa

    Journal of Gastroenterology   1 - 9   2018.6

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    Background: Vonoprazan, potassium-competitive acid blocker, is expected to reduce incidence of delayed bleeding after gastric endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD)
    however, preliminary data to design a large-scale comparative study are lacking. This study aimed to assess the efficacy of vonoprazan in preventing delayed bleeding after gastric ESD. Methods: In this single-center randomized phase II trial, a modified screened selection design was used with a threshold non-bleeding rate of 89% and an expected rate of 97%. In this design, Simon’s optimal two-stage design was first applied for each parallel group, and efficacy was evaluated in comparison with the threshold rate using binomial testing. Patients were randomly assigned in a 1:1 ratio to receive either vonoprazan 20 mg (VPZ group) or lansoprazole 30 mg (PPI group) for 8 weeks from the day before gastric ESD. The primary endpoint was the incidence of delayed bleeding, defined as endoscopically confirmed bleeding accompanied by hematemesis, melena, or a decrease in hemoglobin of ≥ 2 g/dl. Results: Delayed bleeding occurred in three of 69 patients (4.3%, 95% CI 0.9–12.2%, p = 0.047) in the VPZ group, and four of 70 (5.7%, 95% CI 1.6–14.0%, p = 0.104) in the PPI group. As only vonoprazan showed significant reduction in delayed bleeding compared with the threshold rate, it was determined to be efficacious treatment. Conclusions: Vonoprazan efficaciously reduced the delayed bleeding rate in patients with an ESD-induced gastric ulcer. A large-scale, randomized, phase III study is warranted to definitively test the effectiveness of vonoprazan compared with proton pump inhibitors.

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  • The Prevalence and Implication of Zinc Deficiency in Patients With Chronic Liver Disease. Reviewed International journal

    Kazuhiro Katayama, Takumi Kawaguchi, Koichi Shiraishi, Toshifumi Ito, Kazutomo Suzuki, Chizu Koreeda, Takaaki Ohtake, Motoh Iwasa, Yoshio Tokumoto, Ryujin Endo, Naohiro Kawamura, Makoto Shiraki, Tatsunori Hanai, Daiki Habu, Satoru Tsuruta, Hironori Sakai, Yoshiyuki Miwa, Norifumi Kawada, Akinobu Kato, Yoshiyuki Takei, Tetsuya Mine, Yutaka Kohgo, Toshihito Seki, Michio Sata, Yuri Ito, Keisuke Fukui, Shuhei Nishiguchi, Hisataka Moriwaki, Kazuyuki Suzuki

    Journal of clinical medicine research   10 ( 5 )   437 - 444   2018.5

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    Background: Patients with liver cirrhosis often exhibit zinc deficiency. Although zinc is involved in many bioactivities, many aspects of clinical implications of zinc deficiency in liver cirrhosis remain unclear. We aimed to reveal the prevalence and implications of zinc deficiency in liver cirrhosis by assessing associations with parameters such as clinical symptoms and laboratory data. Methods: In 235 cirrhosis patients enrolled at multiple medical institutions in 2009, we assessed how blood zinc levels were associated with their clinical symptoms, patients characteristics, and liver function test results. Results: Blood zinc levels were most strongly correlated with blood albumin levels among the study parameters (r = 0.587, P < 0.0001). When blood albumin levels were ≤ 3.5 g/dL, blood zinc levels were < 70 μg/dL in 88% of patients. Additionally, significant correlations were observed with age (r = -0.253, P = 0.0014), aspartate aminotransferase levels (r = -0.254, P = 0.0020), total bilirubin levels (r = -0.222, P = 0.0053), prothrombin time (r = -0.255, P = 0.0029), branched-chain amino acid to tyrosine ratio (r = 0.357, P < 0.0001), Child-Pugh score (r = 0.469, P < 0.0001), ammonia levels (r = -0.246, P = 0.0028), and total cholesterol levels (r = 0.314, P < 0.0001). Blood zinc levels were significantly lower in patients with edema/ascites (P < 0.0001), those with hepatic encephalopathy (P = 0.0215), those receiving oral diuretics (P = 0.0045), and those receiving oral branched-chain amino acids (P < 0.0001) than in those without these conditions. Conclusions: Zinc deficiency is prevalent in cirrhosis patients, whereas nitrogen metabolic disorders, particularly hypoalbuminemia, can be an indicator of zinc deficiency. Thus, cirrhosis patients exhibiting a nitrogen metabolic disorder should be examined for the presence of zinc deficiency.

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  • Short-term outcomes of open liver resection and laparoscopic liver resection: Secondary analysis of data from a multicenter prospective study (CSGO-HBP-004). Reviewed

    Shogo Kobayashi, Keisuke Fukui, Yutaka Takeda, Shin Nakahira, Masanori Tsujie, Junzo Shimizu, Atsushi Miyamoto, Hidetoshi Eguchi, Hiroaki Nagano, Yuichiro Doki, Masaki Mori

    Annals of gastroenterological surgery   2 ( 1 )   87 - 94   2018.1

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    The aim of the present study was to compare short-term outcomes of laparoscopic and open liver resection (LLR and OLR, respectively), and we first analyzed a preoperatively enrolled and prospectively collected database. We carried out a secondary analysis using a preoperative enrolled database that included the details of 786 patients who had been enrolled in a previously carried out randomized controlled trial to assess short-term outcomes, including morbidities. Statistical analyses included logistic regression, propensity score matching (PSM) with replacement, and inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) analyses. Among 780 liver resections, OLR was carried out in 543 patients and LLR was carried out in 237 patients. LLR was selected in patients with a worse liver function and was related to a smaller resected liver weight and/or partial resection. Logistic regression, PSM, and IPTW analyses revealed that LLR was associated with less blood loss and a lower incidence of morbidities, but a longer operating time. LLR was found to be a preferred factor in biliary leakage by IPTW only. LLR was a preferred factor for blood loss, morbidities and hospital stay, but was associated with a longer operating time. UMIN-CTR, UMIN000003324.

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  • Tobacco price increases and population interest in smoking cessation in Japan between 2004 and 2016: a Google Trends analysis. Reviewed

    Tabuchi T, Fukui K, Gallus S

    Nicotine & tobacco research : official journal of the Society for Research on Nicotine and Tobacco   2018.1

  • Descriptive epidemiological study of vaginal cancer using data from the Osaka Japan population-based cancer registry Long-term analysis from a clinical viewpoint Reviewed

    Asami Yagi, Yutaka Ueda, Mamoru Kakuda, Yusuke Tanaka, Tomomi Egawa-Takata, Akiko Morimoto, Tadashi Iwamiya, Shinya Matsuzaki, Eiji Kobayashi, Kiyoshi Yoshino, Keisuke Fukui, Yuri Ito, Tomio Nakayama, Tadashi Kimura

    MEDICINE   96 ( 32 )   e7751   2017.8

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    Vaginal cancer is such a rare tumor that epidemiological and clinical information for it is based mainly on studies of small numbers of cases. The aim of the present study was to perform a descriptive epidemiological analysis of vaginal cancer using a significantly larger population-based dataset from the Japanese Osaka Cancer Registry.
    The age-standardized incidence of vaginal cancer per 1,000,000 persons, from 1976 to 2010, was calculated and examined for trends. Relative-survival analysis was applied to estimate a more up-to-date 10-year period calculation, using data from recently followed-up patients. The conditional 5-year survival of patients who survived for 0 to 5 years after diagnosis was calculated.
    A total of 481 cases of vaginal cancer were registered in Osaka during the 35-year period from 1976 to 2010. The age-adjusted incidence rate has significantly and consistently decreased over this time [annual percent change (APC)=-1.29, 95% confidence interval (95% CI): -0.3 similar to -2.2]; however, due to significant population aging, the raw incidence of vaginal cancer appeared to have been increasing. The 10-year relative survival of patients with surgery-based treatments was comparable to that of radiation-based treatments, implying that surgery and radiotherapy provide similar therapeutic benefits (P=.98). The 10-year relative survival was not significantly different during the period of 1976 to 2000 compared with the period of 2001 to 2008, although there has been, in the latter period, a tendency for improvement of long-term survival, especially for survival longer than 5 years. The longer the time after diagnosis, the higher the conditional 5-year relative-survival at 0 to 4 years after diagnosis.
    The age-adjusted incidence of vaginal cancer has decreased since 1976. Regrettably, the 10-year survival rate did not similarly improve, and it remained stable during the period from 2001 to 2008, compared with the period from 1976 to 2000, indicating that significant work remains to be done to develop more effective vaginal cancer treatments.

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  • Smoking at the time of diagnosis and mortality in cancer patients: What benefit does the quitter gain? Reviewed

    Takahiro Tabuchi, Atsushi Goto, Yuri Ito, Keisuke Fukui, Isao Miyashiro, Tomohiro Shinozaki

    INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CANCER   140 ( 8 )   1789 - 1795   2017.4

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    Few studies have examined the association between smoking behavior (especially quitters) at the time of diagnosis and mortality among cancer patients. Our objective was to examine the benefits of quitting on all-cause mortality among cancer patients. 30,658 eligible cancer patients diagnosed between 1985 and 2009, identified by a hospital-based cancer registry in Japan, were followed up for up to 10 years. We evaluated smoking behavior at cancer diagnosis (especially recent quitters vs. current smokers) in association with all-cause mortality using Cox-proportional hazards models and covariates-adjusted survival curves. Risk of death was estimated to be reduced by 11% in recent quitters compared with current smokers. According to adjusted survival curves, median survival time was 8.25 years for recent quitters versus 7.18 years for current smokers, indicating an absolute difference of 1.07 year for a median survivor. Similarly, never and former smokers had 18% and 16% lower risk of death with 1.90 years and 1.77 years gained, respectively, compared with current smokers. In addition to former and never smokers, recent quitters showed consistently higher survival rates than current smokers during the 10-year calendar period after diagnosis among cancer patients. Because recent quitters may be similar to patients who stop smoking shortly after cancer diagnosis in terms of smoking duration, the latter may be able to decrease their risk of death, suggesting that smoking cessation could be part of cancer care.

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  • A retrospective analysis of the clinical effects of neoadjuvant combination therapy with full-dose gemcitabine and radiation therapy in patients with biliary tract cancer Reviewed

    S. Kobayashi, A. Tomokuni, K. Gotoh, H. Takahashi, H. Akita, S. Marubashi, T. Yamada, T. Teshima, K. Fukui, Y. Fujiwara, M. Sakon

    EJSO   43 ( 4 )   763 - 771   2017.4

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    Purpose: This study aims to evaluate survival and the objective response to neoadjuvant combination therapy with gemcitabine and radiation therapy in patients with biliary tract cancer.
    Methods: The chemoradiation therapy regimen consisted of 3 cycles of full-dose gemcitabine (1000 mg/m(2) at days 1, 8, and 15, every 4 weeks) with 50-60 Gy radiation. We compared 27 patients who received neoadjuvant chemoradiation therapy and 79 patients who were treated without neoadjuvant therapy. Henri-hepatectomy or pancreatoduodenectomy was planned for all of the patients in the study population. CT-based staging was used to adjust for the pre-treatment characteristics of the patients.
    Results: After confirming the reproducibility of CT-based staging, we analyzed the survival of the patients. The multivariate analysis showed that the absence of arterial invasion on CT, the absence of lymph node swelling, and neoadjuvant therapy were independent prognostic factors. The three-year recurrence-free survival (RFS) rates in patients treated with and without neoadjuvant therapy were 78% and 58%, respectively (P = 0.0263). The adjusted overall survival (OS) (determined by the inverse probability of treatment weighting method using the inverse propensity score) was improved by neoadjuvant therapy (P = 0.00187); the hazard ratio was 0.3505.
    Conclusions: Neoadjuvant chemoradiation therapy might have the potential to improve RFS and OS. Registration: UNIIN-CTR UMN000015450 (C) 2017 Elsevier Ltd, BASO - The Association for Cancer Surgery, and the European Society of Surgical Oncology. All rights reserved.

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  • Vonoprazan versus conventional proton pump inhibitor-based triple therapy as first-line treatment against Helicobacter pylori: A multicenter retrospective study in clinical practice Reviewed

    Satoki Shichijo, Yoshihiro Hirata, Ryota Niikura, Yoku Hayakawa, Atsuo Yamada, Satoshi Mochizuki, Keigo Matsuo, Yoshihiro Isomura, Motoko Seto, Nobumi Suzuki, Hirobumi Suzuki, Shinzo Yamamoto, Takafumi Sugimoto, Tomoya Omae, Makoto Okamoto, Hirotsugu Watabe, Goichi Togo, Noriyuki Takano, Keisuke Fukui, Yuri Ito, Kazuhiko Koike

    JOURNAL OF DIGESTIVE DISEASES   17 ( 10 )   670 - 675   2016.10

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    OBJECTIVE: Vonoprazan is a potassium-competitive acid blocker, a new type of acid-suppressing drug, and has recently become available for peptic ulcers, gastroesophageal reflux disease, and Helicobacter pylori (H. pylori) eradication. Its efficacy for H. pylori eradication has been reported. However, the evidence for its efficacy and feasibility remains limited. We aimed to compare the feasibility, effectiveness and safety of vonoprazan-based triple therapy with conventional proton pump inhibitor (PPI)-based triple therapy in multicenter clinical practice.
    METHODS: We performed a multicenter retrospective study on patients receiving first-line H. pylori eradication therapy between March 2013 and November 2015 with either vonoprazan-based triple therapy or conventional PPI-based triple therapy.
    RESULTS: A total of 2715 patients aged 63.0 +/- 12.1 years (1412 [52.0%] males) were analyzed. Eradication rates were 87.2% (368/422) for vonoprazanbased therapy and 72.4%(1661/2293) for conventional PPI-based therapy (P&lt; 0.01). Among the former group, there were 10 cases of diarrhea, six of nausea/vomiting, and five of rash, but the rates of these adverse events were similar to those in the conventional PPI group.
    CONCLUSION: Vonoprazan-based triple therapy is feasible, and has a higher rate for H. pylori eradication than conventional PPI as a first-line regimen.

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  • Impact of branched-chain amino acid supplementation on survival in patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma treated with sorafenib: A multicenter retrospective cohort study Reviewed

    Kazuho Imanaka, Kazuyoshi Ohkawa, Tomohide Tatsumi, Kazuhiro Katayama, Atsuo Inoue, Yasuharu Imai, Masahide Oshita, Sadaharu Iio, Eiji Mita, Hiroyuki Fukui, Akira Yamada, Fumihiko Nakanishi, Masami Inada, Yoshinori Doi, Kunio Suzuki, Akira Kaneko, Shigeru Marubashi, Yuri Ito, Keisuke Fukui, Ryotaro Sakamori, Takayuki Yakushijin, Naoki Hiramatsu, Norio Hayashi, Tetsuo Takehara

    HEPATOLOGY RESEARCH   46 ( 10 )   1002 - 1010   2016.9

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    AimThe therapeutic efficacy of branched-chain amino acid (BCAA) when added to sorafenib has not been fully assessed in patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This multicenter study investigated whether BCAA supplementation improves prognosis in patients with advanced HCC who underwent sorafenib treatment.
    MethodsThis retrospective analysis included 256 patients with advanced HCC treated with sorafenib, including 55 who did and 201 who did not receive BCAA supplementation. Clinical characteristics and outcomes in relation to Child-Pugh classification were compared in the two groups. Statistical analyses of univariate, multivariate and propensity score-based procedures were used for this study.
    ResultsAssessment of 216 Child-Pugh A patients showed that median overall survival was significantly longer in patients with BCAA supplementation than in those without it (440 vs 299days, P=0.023). Multivariate analysis showed that BCAA supplementation (P=0.023), low -fetoprotein (&lt;100ng/mL) (P&lt;0.001), less progressive Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage (A and B) (P=0.007) and male sex (P=0.018) were significant independent contributors to better overall survival. The significantly longer overall survival by BCAA supplementation was verified in the analysis using the propensity score in combination with the inverse probability of treatment weighted adjustment (P=0.026). Assessment of the 40 Child-Pugh B patients showed no significant differences in overall survival between patients with and without BCAA supplementation.
    ConclusionBCAA supplementation may be a valuable adjunctive therapy for improving prognosis in sorafenib-treated Child-Pugh A patients with advanced HCC.

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  • Illustration of the Varying Coefficient Model for a Tree Growth Analysis from the Age and Space Perspectives Reviewed

    Yamamura Mariko, Fukui Keisuke, Yanagihara Hirokazu

    FORMATH   15   1 - 9   2016

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    One reason why trees grow differently over the year may be due to their relative spatial condition. In this paper, we introduce a statistical model called the varying coefficient model to estimate effects on the tree growth from the age and relative space perspectives. This model is a superior way to understand the tree growth, which is because 1) the space effects can be added in the growth curve model and visually checked by drawing contours and cubic diagrams, and 2) both the space and the age effects are estimated with their confidence interval values, and also the hypothesis test can be performed, which improve the confidence of the estimation result. The model is applied to the data of Cryptomeria japonica, the longitude and the latitude are used as the space information, and the significant spatial effect of the DBH on the stem volume was evident from the estimation result.

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  • Consistency of log-likelihood-based information criteria for selecting variables in high-dimensional canonical correlation analysis under nonnormality Reviewed

    Keisuke Fukui

    HIROSHIMA MATHEMATICAL JOURNAL   45 ( 2 )   175 - 205   2015.7

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    The purpose of this paper is to clarify the conditions for consistency of the log-likelihood-based information criteria in canonical correlation analysis of q- and p-dimensional random vectors when the dimension p is large but does not exceed the sample size. Although the vector of observations is assumed to be normally distributed, we do not know whether the underlying distribution is actually normal. Therefore, conditions for consistency are evaluated in a high-dimensional asymptotic framework when the underlying distribution is not normal.

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  • Comparison with Residual-Sum-of-Squares-Based Model Selection Criteria for Selecting Growth Functions Reviewed

    Fukui Keisuke

    FORMATH   14   27 - 39   2015

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    A growth curve model used for analyzing growth is characterized by a mathematical function with respect to time, called a growth function. As the results of analysis from a growth curve model strongly depend on the growth function used for the analysis, the selection of growth functions is important. A choice of growth function based on the minimization of a model selection criterion is one of the major selection methods. In this paper, we compare the performances of growth-function selection methods using these criteria (e.g., Mallows Cp criterion) through Monte Carlo simulations. As a result, we recommend the use of a method employing the Bayesian information criterion for the selection of growth functions.

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  • Selecting a shrinkage parameter in structural equation modeling with a near singular covariance matrix by the GIC minimization method Reviewed

    Ami Kamada, Hirokazu Yanagihara, Hirofumi Wakaki, Keisuke Fukui

    HIROSHIMA MATHEMATICAL JOURNAL   44 ( 3 )   315 - 326   2014.11

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    In the structural equation modeling, unknown parameters of a covariance matrix are derived by minimizing the discrepancy between a sample covariance matrix and a covariance matrix having a specified structure. When a sample covariance matrix is a near singular matrix, Yuan and Chan (2008) proposed the estimation method to use an adjusted sample covariance matrix instead of the sample covariance matrix in the discrepancy function. The adjusted sample covariance matrix is defined by adding a scalar matrix with a shrinkage parameter to the existing sample covariance matrix. They used a constant value as the shrinkage parameter, which was chosen based solely on the sample size and the number of dimensions of the observation, and not on the data itself. However, selecting the shrinkage parameter from the data may lead to a greater improvement in prediction compared to the use of a constant shrinkage parameter. Hence, we propose an information criterion for selecting the shrinkage parameter, and attempt to select the shrinkage parameter by an information criterion minimization method. The proposed information criterion is based on the discrepancy function measured by the normal theory maximum likelihood. Using the Monte Carlo method, we demonstrate that the proposed criterion works well in the sense that the prediction accuracy of an estimated covariance matrix is improved.

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  • Choosing the Number of Repetitions in the Multiple Plug-in Optimization Method for the Ridge Parameters in Multivariate Generalized Ridge Regression Reviewed

    Nagai Isamu, Fukui Keisuke, Yanagihara Hirokazu

    Bulletin of informatics and cybernetics   45   25 - 35   2013

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  • Selection of high-dimensional multivariate linear regression models by cross-validation. Reviewed

    Keisuke Fukui, Hirokazu Yanagihara

    Proceedings of the 6th International Conference of IMBIC on Mathematical Sciences for Advancement of Science and Technology MSAST 2012   108 - 117   2012

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Books

  • 保健・医療におけるシステマティックレビューとメタアナリシス

    Egger, Matthias, Higgins, Julian, Davey Smith, George, 本田, 貴紀, 天笠, 志保, 川上, 諒子, 陳, 三妹, 門間, 陽樹

    大修館書店  2024.12  ( ISBN:9784469269970

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    Total pages:xxxii, 541p   Language:Japanese  

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  • 疫学/保健統計

    菊池 宏幸, 尾島 俊之, 原岡 智子, 片岡 葵, 清原 康介, 堀 芽久美, 柿崎 真沙子, 福井 敬祐, 細川 陸也, 伊藤 ゆり, 村山 洋史, 町田 征己

    メヂカルフレンド社  2022.1  ( ISBN:9784839221911

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    Total pages:ix, 210p   Language:Japanese  

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  • 統計科学百科事典 : [セット]

    Lovric Miodrag, 日本統計学会

    丸善出版  2018  ( ISBN:9784621303108

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  • Smoking Histories in Japan: Gender, Birth-Cohort, and Age Dynamics from 1910 to 2050

    NGUYEN Phuong T., NGUYEN Phuong T., TANAKA Shiori, FUKUI Keisuke, 伊藤ゆり, KATANODA Kota

    日本癌学会学術総会抄録集(Web)   83rd   2024

  • 肺がん死亡の格差を定量化するマイクロシミュレーションの開発 : 自然史モデル

    石原 政佳, 田中 詩織, 伊藤 ゆり, 片野田 耕太, 祖父江 友孝, 福井 敬祐

    日本計算機統計学会シンポジウム論文集   36   22 - 25   2022.11

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  • がんサバイバーの死亡リスクはいつ一般集団と同等になるのか?条件付き5年生存率が100%以上となるタイミング(When is cancer survivors' risk of death the same as the general population? timing of 100%+conditional 5-year survival)

    伊藤 ゆり, 堀 芽久美, 福井 敬祐, 太田 将仁, 中田 佳世, 杉山 裕美, 伊藤 秀美, 大木 いずみ, 西野 善一, 宮代 勲, 澤田 典絵, 片野田 耕太, 柴田 亜希子, 松田 智大

    日本癌学会総会記事   81回   E - 3035   2022.9

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  • 都道県別にみるがん年齢調整死亡率の推移予測ツールの開発

    福井敬祐, 伊藤ゆり, 片野田耕太

    がん予防学術大会プログラム・抄録集   2022   2022

  • Trends in area-level socioeconomic inequalities of lung cancer mortality by age group in Japan: 1995-2014

    Yuri Ito, Keisuke Fukui, Naoki Kondo, Kota Katanoda, Tomoki Nakaya, Tomotaka Sobue

    INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF EPIDEMIOLOGY   50   112 - 112   2021.9

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  • がん登録データ活用のためのツール開発とその活用

    福井敬祐

    第30回日本がん登録協議会学術集会   2021.6

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  • 肺がんにおける健康格差の縮小をターゲットとしたマイクロシミュレーションモデルの開発

    福井敬祐

    日本計算機統計学会第35回大会   35th   2021.6

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  • 日本におけるCOVID-19流行初期の自殺による超過死亡の検討

    安齋 達彦, 福井 敬祐, 伊藤 翼, 伊藤 ゆり, 高橋 邦彦

    Journal of Epidemiology   31 ( Suppl. )   98 - 98   2021.1

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  • 日本におけるCOVID-19流行初期の自殺による超過死亡の検討

    安齋 達彦, 福井 敬祐, 伊藤 翼, 伊藤 ゆり, 高橋 邦彦

    Journal of Epidemiology   31 ( Suppl. )   98 - 98   2021.1

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  • 都道府県内の健康寿命・平均寿命の社会経済格差と都道府県全体の健康指標における関連性の検討

    片岡葵, 片岡葵, 福井敬祐, 佐藤倫治, 菊池宏幸, 井上茂, 近藤尚己, 中谷友樹, 伊藤ゆり

    日本疫学会学術総会講演集(Web)   31st   2021

  • 次期がん対策推進基本計画に向けた新たな指標及び評価方法の開発のための研究 数理モデルによるがん対策進捗評価:マイクロシミュレーションモデルの活用

    伊藤ゆり, 福井敬祐, 加茂憲一

    次期がん対策推進基本計画に向けた新たな指標及び評価方法の開発のための研究 令和2年度 総括・分担研究報告書(Web)   2021

  • がん対策の年齢調整死亡率・罹患率に及ぼす影響に関する研究 都道県別にみる年齢調整死亡率のモニタリングのためのWeb application tool開発に関する研究

    福井敬祐

    がん対策の年齢調整死亡率・罹患率に及ぼす影響に関する研究 令和2年度 総括・分担研究報告書(Web)   2021

  • がん対策の年齢調整死亡率・罹患率に及ぼす影響に関する研究 大腸がんマイクロシミュレーションモデル拡張に関する基礎データ作成に関する研究

    福井敬祐, 加茂憲一

    がん対策の年齢調整死亡率・罹患率に及ぼす影響に関する研究 令和2年度 総括・分担研究報告書(Web)   2021

  • 日本における大腸がんマイクロシミュレーションの現状とがん対策への活用

    福井敬祐

    日本癌学会学術総会抄録集(Web)   80th   2021

  • 肺がんにおける健康格差縮小に焦点を当てたマイクロシミュレーションモデルの開発

    福井敬祐

    がん予防学術大会プログラム・抄録集   2021 (CD-ROM)   2021

  • Exploration of pathomechanism using comprehensive analysis of serum cytokines in polymyositis/dermatomyositis-interstitial lung disease

    79 ( 3 )   159 - 161   2020.12

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  • 大阪府がん登録データを用いた子宮頸がんの動向および臨床的観点からの解析

    八木 麻未, 上田 豊, 池田 さやか, 松崎 慎哉, 小林 栄仁, 福井 敬祐, 森島 敏隆, 宮代 勲, 伊藤 ゆり, 中山 富雄, 木村 正

    JACR Monograph   ( 25 )   17 - 17   2020.3

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  • 院内がん登録と生体試料を用いた臨床・疫学研究レビュー バイオバンク事業におけるがん登録の活用可能性について

    片岡 葵, 谷口 高平, 小村 和正, 福井 敬祐, 伊藤 ゆり

    JACR Monograph   ( 25 )   11 - 11   2020.3

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  • 都道府県がん登録の全国集計データと診療情報等の併用・突合によるがん統計整備及び活用促進の研究 がん登録データに対する統計手法の開発に関する研究(罹患報告の遅れ補正モデル)

    加茂憲一, 福井敬祐, 伊森晋平

    都道府県がん登録の全国集計データと診療情報等との併用・突合によるがん統計整備及び活用促進の研究 令和元年度 総括・分担研究報告書(Web)   2020

  • 科学的根拠に基づくがん種別・年代別検診手法の受診者にわかりやすい勧奨方法の開発に関する研究 数理統計モデルを用いた大腸がん検診の最適化対象者の設定に関する研究

    福井敬祐, 加茂憲一, 伊藤ゆり

    科学的根拠に基づくがん種別・年代別検診手法の受診者にわかりやすい勧奨方法の開発に関する研究 令和元年度 総括・分担研究報告書(Web)   2020

  • 新型コロナウィルス流行下における市民のメンタルヘルスの変化:年収の違いに着目した縦断研究

    菊池宏幸, 町田征己, 中村造, 齋藤玲子, 小田切優子, 小島多香子, 渡邉秀裕, 福井敬祐, 井上茂

    ストレス科学   35 ( 2 (CD-ROM) )   2020

  • がん対策の進捗管理のための指標と測定の継続的な発展に向けた研究 数理モデルを用いたがん対策進捗評価と都道府県がん対策におけるPDCAサイクル評価

    伊藤ゆり, 福井敬祐

    がん対策の進捗管理のための指標と測定の継続的な発展に向けた研究 令和元年度 総括・分担研究報告書(Web)   2020

  • HTLV-1母子感染予防に関するエビデンス創出のための研究 母子感染予防がキャリア数やATL,HAM患者数の推移に与える効果

    西野善一, 郡山千早, 福井敬祐, 加茂憲一, 伊藤ゆり

    HTLV-1母子感染予防に関するエビデンス創出のための研究 令和元年度 総括・分担研究報告書(Web)   2020

  • 「失われた20年」と健康の地理的格差:格差は拡大しているのか?

    伊藤ゆり, 福井敬祐, 近藤尚己, 中谷友樹

    日本疫学会学術総会講演集(Web)   30th   2020

  • 都道府県がん登録の全国集計データと診療情報等の併用・突合によるがん統計整備及び活用促進の研究 がん患者の生存率における推定方法の検討および一般市民への伝達に関する研究

    伊藤ゆり, 堀芽久美, 福井敬祐, 小向翔

    都道府県がん登録の全国集計データと診療情報等との併用・突合によるがん統計整備及び活用促進の研究 令和元年度 総括・分担研究報告書(Web)   2020

  • Geographical disparities in the reduction of cancer mortality and the early detection of cancer by prefecture in Japan

    伊藤ゆり, 福井敬祐, 片野田耕太, 東尚弘

    日本癌学会学術総会抄録集(Web)   79th   OE24 - 5   2020

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  • がん登録を活用した 生存率算出のためのツール作成と提供

    福井敬祐

    日本がん登録協議会第28回学術集会   ( 25 )   10 - 10   2019.6

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  • 大阪府における甲状腺がんの罹患および死亡 1975〜2012年の動向

    安藤 絵美子, 伊藤 ゆり, 福井 敬祐, 中田 佳世, 中山 富雄, 宮代 勲, 祖父江 友孝

    JACR Monograph   ( 24 )   25 - 25   2019.3

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  • 変化係数モデルを用いた大阪府におけるがん罹患・死亡の年齢・時代・出生コホート効果分析

    福井 敬祐

    JACR Monograph   ( 24 )   8 - 8   2019.3

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  • 相対生存率に代わるネット生存率に対する算出手法の特徴とその比較

    小向 翔, 福井 敬祐, 松田 智大, 伊藤 ゆり

    JACR Monograph   ( 24 )   16 - 16   2019.3

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  • 日立市における低線量肺がんCT検診の有効性を評価するコホート研究

    名和健, 福井敬祐, 中山富雄, 佐川元保, 中川徹, 市村秀夫, 溝上哲也

    日本がん検診・診断学会誌   27 ( 1 )   41 - 41   2019

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  • Variable Selection Method for Nonparametric Varying Coefficient Model via Group-lasso Penalty

    福井敬祐, 大石峰暉, 小田凌也, 岡村健介, 伊藤嘉道, 柳原宏和

    統計関連学会連合大会講演報告集   2019   2019

  • 科学的根拠に基づくがん種別・年代別検診手法の受診者にわかりやすい勧奨方法の開発に関する研究 数理統計モデルを用いた大腸がん検診の最適化対象年齢層設定に関する研究

    福井敬祐, 加茂憲一, 伊藤ゆり, 雑賀公美子

    科学的根拠に基づくがん種別・年代別検診手法の受診者にわかりやすい勧奨方法の開発に関する研究 平成30年度 総括・分担研究報告書(Web)   2019

  • 都道府県がん登録の全国集計データと診療情報等の併用・突合によるがん統計整備及び活用促進の研究 がん患者の生存率における推定方法の検討および一般市民への伝達に関する研究

    伊藤ゆり, 福井敬祐, 小向翔

    都道府県がん登録の全国集計データと診療情報等の併用・突合によるがん統計整備及び活用促進の研究 平成30年度 総括・分担研究報告書(Web)   2019

  • がん対策の進捗管理のための指標と測定の継続的な発展に向けた研究 がん対策における数理モデルの活用:国内外の事例

    伊藤ゆり, 福井敬祐

    がん対策の進捗管理のための指標と測定の継続的な発展に向けた研究 平成30年度 総括・分担研究報告書(Web)   2019

  • がん検診と生活習慣病 混合研究法を用いた高齢者の大腸がん検診受診に対する検討

    中山 富雄, 伊藤 ゆり, 福井 敬祐, 雑賀 公美子, 遠峰 良美, 濱 秀郷, 安藤 絵美子, 松本 綾希子, 加茂 憲一

    日本癌治療学会学術集会抄録集   57th   WS11 - 2   2019

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  • Microsimulation modelによるがん死亡率減少効果の推定

    福井敬祐

    日本計量生物学会年会講演予稿集   2019   2019

  • HTLV-1母子感染予防に関するエビデンス創出のための研究 母子感染予防がキャリア数やATL,HAM患者数の推移に与える効果

    西野善一, 郡山千早, 福井敬祐, 加茂憲一, 伊藤ゆり

    HTLV-1母子感染予防に関するエビデンス創出のための研究 平成30年度 総括・分担研究報告書(Web)   2019

  • Estimation of Geographically Varying Coefficient Model via Group Fused Lasso

    大石峰暉, 福井敬祐, 岡村健介, 伊藤嘉道, 原宏和

    統計関連学会連合大会講演報告集   2019   2019

  • マイクロシミュレーションモデルを用いた大腸がん検診における受診年齢上限の検討

    福井敬祐, 加茂憲一, 伊藤ゆり, 片野田耕太, 中山富雄

    日本疫学会学術総会講演集(Web)   29th   2019

  • 市区町村別地理的剥奪指標からみた健康寿命の格差の計測

    片岡葵, 福井敬祐, 佐藤倫治, 佐藤倫治, 中谷友樹, 伊藤ゆり

    日本疫学会学術総会講演集(Web)   29th   2019

  • 日立市における低線量CT検診の有効性を評価するコホート研究

    名和健, 福井敬祐, 中山富雄, 佐川元保, 中川徹, 市村秀夫, 溝上哲也

    CT検診   25 ( 1 )   2018

  • マイクロシミュレーションモデルを用いた大腸がん検診による死亡率減少効果の推定

    福井敬祐, 伊藤ゆり, 加茂憲一, 片野田耕太, 中山富雄

    日本疫学会学術総会講演集(Web)   28th   2018

  • 説明変数と相関構造を同時に選択した場合の一般化推定方程式法による予測について

    佐藤倫治, 伊藤ゆり, 福井敬祐

    統計関連学会連合大会講演報告集   2018   2018

  • 都道府県がん登録の全国集計データと診療情報等併用・突合によるがん統計整備及び活用促進の研究 がん患者の生存率における府県間格差の推移

    伊藤ゆり, 福井敬祐, シャルヴァ アドリアン, 片野田耕太, 松田智大

    都道府県がん登録の全国集計データと診療情報等の併用・突合によるがん統計整備及び活用促進の研究 平成29年度 総括・分担研究報告書(Web)   2018

  • 都道府県がん登録の全国集計データと診療情報等併用・突合によるがん統計整備及び活用促進の研究 がん登録データの統計モデリング構築及びシミュレーションシステム整備

    加茂憲一, 伊森晋平, 田辺竜ノ介, 福井敬祐

    都道府県がん登録の全国集計データと診療情報等の併用・突合によるがん統計整備及び活用促進の研究 平成29年度 総括・分担研究報告書(Web)   2018

  • 単孔式胆嚢摘出術におけるラーニングカーブのCUSUM解析 827例の経験より

    朝隈光弘, 飯田亮, 今井義朗, 米田浩二, 清水徹之介, 廣川文鋭, 福井敬祐, 内山和久

    日本内視鏡外科学会雑誌   23 ( 7 (CD-ROM) )   ROMBUNNO.OS186‐1 - 1   2018

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  • わが国における高齢者のがん検診受診への意向調査

    中山 富雄, 遠峰 良美, 安藤 絵美子, 濱 秀聡, 伊藤 ゆり, 福井 敬祐, 雑賀 公美子, 加茂 憲一

    日本癌治療学会学術集会抄録集   56th   P118 - 7   2018

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  • ミンククジラの身体データを例とした粗密がある空間データでのFused Lassoによる空間効果の推定

    福井敬祐, 山村麻理子, 柳原宏和, SOLVANG Hiroko, OIEN Nils, HAUG Tore

    統計関連学会連合大会講演報告集   2018   2018

  • Fused Lassoを用いた地域分類~マンションの賃料に対する地域効果のモデリング~

    大石峰暉, 福井敬祐, 岡村健介, 伊藤嘉道, 柳原宏和

    統計関連学会連合大会講演報告集   2018   2018

  • 科学的根拠に基づくがん種別・年代別検診手法の受診者にわかりやすい勧奨方法の開発に関する研究 数理統計モデルを用いた大腸がん検診の最適化対象年齢層設定に関する研究

    福井敬祐, 加茂憲一, 雑賀公美子, 伊藤ゆり

    科学的根拠に基づくがん種別・年代別検診手法の受診者にわかりやすい勧奨方法の開発に関する研究 平成29年度 総括・分担研究報告書(Web)   2018

  • 院内がん登録全国データからみたがん診療連携拠点病院における胃癌術後補助化学療法実施割合

    宮代 勲, 中田 佳世, 森島 敏隆, 田淵 貴大, 中山 富雄, 福井 敬祐, 伊藤 ゆり

    日本癌学会総会記事   76回   P - 2382   2017.9

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  • EFFECTIVENESS OF A VONOPRAZAN ON PREVENTION OF BLEEDING FROM ENDOSCOPIC SUBMUCOSAL DISSECTION-INDUCED GASTRIC ULCERS: A PROSPECTIVE RANDOMIZED PHASE II STUDY

    Kenta Hamada, Noriya Uedo, Yusuke Tonai, Masamichi Arao, Sho Suzuki, Taro Iwatsubo, Minoru Kato, Satoki Shichijo, Yasushi Yamasaki, Noriko Matsuura, Hiroko Nakahira, Takashi Kanesaka, Sachiko Yamamoto, Tomofumi Akasaka, Noboru Hanaoka, Yoji Takeuchi, Koji Higashino, Ryu Ishihara, Hiroyasu Iishi, Keisuke Fukui

    GASTROENTEROLOGY   152 ( 5 )   S257 - S257   2017.4

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  • 胃腫瘍ESD後の後出血に対するボノプラザンの治療効果の検討 単施設前向きランダム化第II相試験

    濱田 健太, 上堂 文也, 東内 雄亮, 荒尾 真道, 鈴木 翔, 岩坪 太郎, 加藤 穣, 七條 智聖, 山崎 泰史, 松浦 倫子, 中平 博子, 金坂 卓, 山本 幸子, 赤坂 智史, 鼻岡 昇, 竹内 洋司, 東野 晃治, 石原 立, 飯石 浩康, 福井 敬祐

    Gastroenterological Endoscopy   59 ( Suppl.1 )   1000 - 1000   2017.4

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  • がん対策推進基本計画の効果検証と目標設定に関する研究 大腸がんマイクロシミュレーションモデルにおけるがん医療均てん化による死亡率減少効果の推定

    伊藤ゆり, 福井敬祐, 加茂憲一

    がん対策推進基本計画の効果検証と目標設定に関する研究 平成28年度 総括・分担研究報告書   2017

  • がん検診対象者の年齢上限に関する検討

    中山富雄, 伊藤ゆり, 福井啓祐, 加茂憲一, 雑賀公美子

    がん予防学術大会プログラム・抄録集   2017   2017

  • 胃腫瘍ESD後の後出血に対するボノプラザンの治療効果の検討:単施設前向きランダム化第II相試験

    濱田健太, 上堂文也, 東内雄亮, 荒尾真道, 鈴木翔, 岩坪太郎, 加藤穣, 七條智聖, 山崎泰史, 松浦倫子, 中平博子, 金坂卓, 山本幸子, 赤坂智史, 鼻岡昇, 竹内洋司, 東野晃治, 石原立, 飯石浩康, 福井敬祐

    Gastroenterological Endoscopy (Web)   59 ( Supplement1 )   2017

  • タバコ値上げが禁煙への関心に与えた影響:日本のGoogle検索データを活用した実証研究

    田淵貴大, 福井敬祐

    日本禁煙学会学術総会プログラム・抄録集   11th   90 - 90   2017

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  • 都道府県別にみた健康格差指標の経年変化

    福井 敬祐, 伊藤 ゆり, 近藤 尚己, 中谷 友樹

    日本公衆衛生学会総会抄録集   76th   264 - 264   2017

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  • がんの診断後に公的医療保険を切り替えた割合はどのくらいか

    宮代 勲, 森島 敏隆, 中田 佳世, 濱 秀聡, 福井 敬祐, 伊藤 ゆり, 田淵 貴大, 中山 富雄

    日本公衆衛生学会総会抄録集   76th   608 - 608   2017

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  • 過剰ハザードモデルにおけるBrierスコアの推測

    杉本知之, 福井敬祐, 伊藤ゆり

    日本計算機統計学会シンポジウム論文集   31st   113 - 116   2017

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  • 全国がん登録,院内がん登録および既存がん統計情報の活用によるがん及びがん診療動向把握に関する包括的研究 がん登録資料を効果的にがん対策に活用する統計手法の検討

    伊藤ゆり, 福井敬祐, シャルヴァ アドリアン

    全国がん登録、院内がん登録および既存がん統計情報の活用によるがん及びがん診療動向把握に関する包括的研究 平成28年度 総括・分担研究報告書(Web)   2017

  • 空間的階層ベイズモデルを用いたがん生存率の地理的格差の解析

    中谷友樹, 中谷友樹, 伊藤ゆり, 福井敬祐, 中山富雄

    日本疫学会学術総会講演集(Web)   27th   2017

  • 職業別死亡率の時系列分析における地域差の検討

    福井敬祐, 伊藤ゆり, 中谷友樹, 近藤尚己

    日本疫学会学術総会講演集(Web)   27th   2017

  • 健康格差対策に必要な公的統計のあり方に関する研究 市区町村別地理的剥奪指標を用いた全死亡・主要死因別年齢調整死亡率の社会経済格差の推移

    伊藤ゆり, 近藤尚己, 中谷友樹, 中谷友樹, 米島万有子, 福井敬祐

    健康格差対策に必要な公的統計のあり方に関する研究 平成28年度 総括・分担研究報告書(Web)   2017

  • 健康格差対策に必要な公的統計のあり方に関する研究 健康格差対策に向けた統計情報の高度活用に関する研究:死亡率の変化に関連する都道府県レベルの要因解明のための分析手法の提案

    福井敬祐, 近藤尚己

    健康格差対策に必要な公的統計のあり方に関する研究 平成28年度 総括・分担研究報告書(Web)   2017

  • シミュレーションモデルを用いた大腸がん死亡リスク低減の定量化

    加茂憲一, 伊藤ゆり, 福井敬祐, 片野田耕太

    がん予防学術大会プログラム・抄録集   2017   2017

  • 混合効果モデルによる都道府県別がん罹患数の区間推定

    田辺竜ノ介, 加茂憲一, 伊森晋平, 福井敬祐

    統計関連学会連合大会講演報告集   2017   2017

  • がん対策推進基本計画の効果検証と目標設定に関する研究 シミュレーションモデルを用いたがん対策評価に関する先行研究の情報収集

    松田彩子, 雑賀公美子, 伊藤ゆり, 福井敬祐

    がん対策推進基本計画の効果検証と目標設定に関する研究 平成28年度 総括・分担研究報告書   2017

  • がん対策推進基本計画の効果検証と目標設定に関する研究 肝臓がん自然史モデリングにおける生存率の推定について

    伊森晋平, 加茂憲一, 伊藤ゆり, 福井敬祐

    がん対策推進基本計画の効果検証と目標設定に関する研究 平成28年度 総括・分担研究報告書   2017

  • 大阪府におけるベセスダシステム移行期の子宮頸がん検診の精度の検討

    濱 秀聡, 福井 敬祐, 伊藤 ゆり, 中山 富雄, 里村 征紀, 田中 修

    日本公衆衛生学会総会抄録集   75回   379 - 379   2016.10

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  • 大阪府がん登録データを用いた腟がんの疫学的・臨床病理学的解析

    八木 麻未, 上田 豊, 角田 守, 田中 佑典, 高田 友美, 松崎 慎哉, 小林 栄仁, 吉野 潔, 福井 敬祐, 伊藤 ゆり, 中山 富雄, 木村 正

    日本婦人科腫瘍学会雑誌   34 ( 3 )   426 - 426   2016

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  • 大阪府がん登録データを用いた子宮肉腫の疫学的・臨床病理学的解析

    中江 瑠璃子, 角田 守, 上田 豊, 八木 麻未, 田中 佑典, 高田 友美, 松崎 慎哉, 小林 栄仁, 吉野 潔, 福井 敬祐, 伊藤 ゆり, 中山 富雄, 木村 正

    日本婦人科腫瘍学会雑誌   54th ( 3 )   436 - 436   2016

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  • 疫学データを活用したがん対策立案と進捗管理 疫学研究者と行政のコラボレーション 地域がん登録データを活用した自府県のがん罹患・死亡の位置づけの評価

    伊藤 ゆり, 福井 敬祐, 森島 敏隆, 中田 佳世, 田淵 貴大, 宮代 勲, 中山 富雄, 里村 征紀, 田中 修

    日本公衆衛生学会総会抄録集   75th   89 - 89   2016

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  • 子宮 腟・外陰がん・肉腫の動向と治療 大阪府がん登録データを用いた子宮肉腫の疫学的解析

    角田 守, 上田 豊, 八木 麻未, 田中 佑典, 高田 友美, 小林 栄仁, 吉野 潔, 福井 敬祐, 伊藤 ゆり, 中山 富雄, 木村 正

    日本癌治療学会学術集会抄録集   26 ( Supplement 1 )   WS100 - 1   2016

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  • 子宮 腟・外陰がん・肉腫の動向と治療 地域がん登録データを用いた腟癌481例の疫学的・臨床的解析

    八木 麻未, 上田 豊, 角田 守, 田中 佑典, 高田 友美, 松崎 慎哉, 小林 栄仁, 吉野 潔, 福井 敬祐, 伊藤 ゆり, 中山 富雄, 木村 正

    日本癌治療学会学術集会抄録集   54th   WS100 - 3   2016

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  • 子宮 腟・外陰がん・肉腫の動向と治療 大阪府がん登録データを用いた外陰癌の罹患率および予後の解析

    田中 佑典, 上田 豊, 八木 麻未, 角田 守, 高田 友美, 松崎 慎哉, 小林 栄仁, 吉野 潔, 福井 敬祐, 伊藤 ゆり, 中山 富雄, 木村 正

    日本癌治療学会学術集会抄録集   26 ( Supplement 1 )   WS100 - 5   2016

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  • 大阪府がん登録データを用いた子宮肉腫の疫学的・臨床病理学的解析

    中江瑠璃子, 角田守, 上田豊, 八木麻未, 田中佑典, 高田友美, 松崎慎哉, 小林栄仁, 吉野潔, 福井敬祐, 伊藤ゆり, 中山富雄, 木村正

    日本婦人科腫瘍学会雑誌   34 ( 3 )   2016

  • 大阪府がん登録データを用いた外陰癌の罹患率および予後の解析

    田中佑典, 上田豊, 角田守, 八木麻未, 高田友美, 松崎慎哉, 小林栄仁, 吉野潔, 福井敬祐, 伊藤ゆり, 中山富雄, 木村正

    日本婦人科腫瘍学会雑誌   34 ( 3 )   2016

  • シミュレーションモデルを用いた胃がん検診効果-システマティック・レビューより-

    松田彩子, 雑賀公美子, 伊藤ゆり, 福井敬祐, 加茂憲一

    日本公衆衛生学会総会抄録集   75th   2016

  • 健康格差対策に必要な公的統計のあり方に関する研究 Probabilistic linkageを用いた大規模公的統計データベースの活用に関する研究

    福井敬祐, 近藤尚己

    健康格差対策に必要な公的統計のあり方に関する研究 平成27年度 総括・分担研究報告書   2016

  • 大阪府がん登録データを用いた腟がんの疫学的・臨床病理学的解析

    八木麻未, 八木麻未, 上田豊, 角田守, 田中佑典, 高田友美, 松崎慎哉, 小林栄仁, 吉野潔, 福井敬祐, 伊藤ゆり, 中山富雄, 木村正

    Journal of Epidemiology (Web)   26 ( Supplement 1 )   2016

  • 大阪府のがん生存率は30年間でどの程度向上したか?:1975-2008年診断例による分析

    伊藤ゆり, 福井敬祐, 森島敏隆, 中田佳世, 田淵貴大, 中山富雄, 宮代勲, 松浦成昭, QUARESMA Manuela, RACHET Bernard

    Journal of Epidemiology (Web)   26 ( Supplement 1 )   2016

  • 健康格差対策に必要な公的統計のあり方に関する研究 市区町村別性年齢階級別人口の線形補間について

    福井敬祐

    健康格差対策に必要な公的統計のあり方に関する研究 平成27年度 総括・分担研究報告書   2016

  • がん対策推進基本計画の効果検証と目標設定に関する研究 シミュレーションモデルを用いたがん対策評価に関する先行研究の情報収集

    松田彩子, 雑賀公美子, 伊藤ゆり, 福井敬祐

    がん対策推進基本計画の効果検証と目標設定に関する研究 平成27年度 総括・分担研究報告書   2016

  • がん対策推進基本計画の効果検証と目標設定に関する研究 肝臓がん自然史モデルに対する数理モデルと推定アルゴリズムについて

    伊森晋平, 田中純子, 加茂憲一, 坂本亘, 伊藤ゆり, 福井敬祐

    がん対策推進基本計画の効果検証と目標設定に関する研究 平成27年度 総括・分担研究報告書   2016

  • がん対策推進基本計画の効果検証と目標設定に関する研究 諸外国のがん計画における目標値設定に関して

    伊藤ゆり, 福井敬祐, 片野田耕太, 加茂憲一

    がん対策推進基本計画の効果検証と目標設定に関する研究 平成27年度 総括・分担研究報告書   2016

  • 変化係数モデルを用いた大阪府におけるがん罹患・死亡の年齢・時代・出生コホート効果分析

    福井敬祐, 福井敬祐, 福井敬祐, 福井敬祐, 伊藤ゆり, 中山富雄, 冨田哲治, 佐藤健一, 加茂憲一

    Journal of Epidemiology (Web)   26 ( Supplement 1 )   74   2016

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  • 健康格差対策に必要な公的統計のあり方に関する研究 市区町村別地理的剥奪指標を用いた全死亡・主要死因別年齢調整死亡率の社会経済格差の推移

    伊藤ゆり, 近藤尚己, 中谷友樹, 米島万有子, 米島万有子, 福井敬祐

    健康格差対策に必要な公的統計のあり方に関する研究 平成27年度 総括・分担研究報告書   15‐49   2016

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  • 健康格差対策に必要な公的統計のあり方に関する研究 がん進行度別罹患率における社会経済格差

    伊藤ゆり, 近藤尚己, 中谷友樹, 中谷友樹, 米島万有子, 中山富雄, 福井敬祐

    健康格差対策に必要な公的統計のあり方に関する研究 平成27年度 総括・分担研究報告書   77‐88   2016

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  • 疫学データを活用したがん検診への取組

    中山富雄, 伊藤ゆり, 福井敬祐, 森島敏隆, 中田佳世, 田淵貴大, 宮代勲, 里村征紀, 田中修

    日本公衆衛生学会総会抄録集   75th   90 - 90   2016

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  • 協働で取り組むがん対策-がん対策ツールとしてのがん登録

    宮代勲, 伊藤ゆり, 田淵貴大, 中山富雄, 福井敬祐, 中田佳世, 森島敏隆, 里村征紀, 田中修

    日本公衆衛生学会総会抄録集   75th   90 - 90   2016

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    Language:Japanese   Publisher:日本公衆衛生学会  

    J-GLOBAL

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  • 大阪府がん登録データを用いた外陰癌の罹患率および予後の解析

    田中 佑典, 上田 豊, 角田 守, 八木 麻未, 高田 友美, 松崎 慎哉, 小林 栄仁, 吉野 潔, 福井 敬祐, 伊藤 ゆり, 中山 富雄, 木村 正

    日本婦人科腫瘍学会雑誌   54th ( 3 )   426 - 426   2016

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    Language:Japanese   Publisher:(公社)日本婦人科腫瘍学会  

    J-GLOBAL

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  • 大阪府におけるがん進行度別罹患率の社会経済格差 1993-2004年における格差の変化

    伊藤 ゆり, 中谷 友樹, 近藤 尚己, 福井 敬祐, 中田 佳世, 井岡 亜希子, 宮代 勲, 中山 富雄

    日本公衆衛生学会総会抄録集   74th   407 - 407   2015

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    J-GLOBAL

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  • 非正規性の下での高次元正準相関分析のためのAIC規準量の一致性

    福井敬祐

    統計関連学会連合大会講演報告集   2014   2014

  • GCV最小化に基づく繰り返し計算を必要としないスプライン平滑化パラメータの最適化

    福井敬祐, 柳原宏和

    統計関連学会連合大会講演報告集   2013   2013

  • CV規準を用いた高次元多変量線形回帰モデルの変数選択法

    福井敬祐, 柳原宏和

    統計関連学会連合大会講演報告集   2012   2012

  • 多変量一般化リッジ回帰におけるリッジパラメータ最適化法の選択問題

    福井敬祐, 福井敬祐, 永井勇, 永井勇, 柳原宏和

    統計関連学会連合大会講演報告集   2010   2010

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Presentations

  • がん対策へのマイクロシミュレーションの活用 Invited

    福井敬祐

    ヘルスケアデータサイエンス学会  2023.12 

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    Event date: 2023.12

    Presentation type:Oral presentation (invited, special)  

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  • がん死亡に対する出生コホート効果の柔軟な検出

    石原 政佳, 福井 敬祐, 冨田 哲治

    日本計算機統計学会 第37回シンポジウム  2023.11 

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    Event date: 2023.11

    Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

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  • 東広島市行政課題に対するデータサイエンスからの取り組み Invited

    福井敬祐

    日本計算機統計学会第37回シンポジウム  2023.11 

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    Event date: 2023.11

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  • 喫煙率に対する変化係数モデルを用いた出生コホート効果の推定

    石原政佳, 冨田哲治, 福井敬祐

    第64回日本社会医学会総会  2023.7 

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    Event date: 2023.7

    Presentation type:Poster presentation  

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  • Microsimulation for Cancer Control in Japan Invited

    Keisuke Fukui

    International Symposium on Scheduling 2023  2023.6 

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    Event date: 2023.6

    Language:English   Presentation type:Oral presentation (keynote)  

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  • 都道府県別にみるがん年齢調整死亡率の推移予測ツールの開発

    福井敬祐, 伊藤ゆり, 片野田耕太

    がん予防学術大会  2022.7 

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    Event date: 2022.7

    Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

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  • Colorectal Cancer Microsimulation Model and its Application in Japan Invited

    Keisuke Fukui

    2021.10 

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    Event date: 2021.9 - 2021.10

    Language:English   Presentation type:Symposium, workshop panel (public)  

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  • がん登録データ活用のためのツール開発とその活用 Invited

    福井 敬祐

    日本がん登録協議会第30回学術集会  2021.6 

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    Event date: 2021.6

    Presentation type:Symposium, workshop panel (nominated)  

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  • 肺がんにおける健康格差の縮小をターゲットとした マイクロシミュレーションモデルの開発 Invited

    福井 敬祐

    日本計算機統計学会  2021.6 

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    Event date: 2021.6

    Language:Japanese   Presentation type:Symposium, workshop panel (nominated)  

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  • 生存率の種類と算出方法 Invited

    福井敬祐

    日本がん登録協議会第33回学術集会  2024.6 

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  • がん対策に活用するマイクロシミュレーションと我が国の研究状況 Invited

    福井敬祐

    「ヘルスケアのOR」第13回研究会  2023.2 

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  • 肺がんにおける健康格差の縮小に焦点を当てた マイクロシミュレーションモデルの開発 Invited

    福井 敬祐

    がん予防学術大会  2021.9 

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Works

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Awards

  • 若手研究者(疫学部門)優秀演題賞

    2022.7   がん予防学術大会2022京都   都道府県別にみるがん年齢調整死亡率の推移予測ツールの開発

    福井敬祐, 伊藤ゆり, 片野田耕太

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  • 口演賞

    2017.10   日本公衆衛生学会  

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  • 藤本伊三郎賞

    2017.6   日本がん登録協議会  

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  • がん研究奨励助成金

    2016   大阪対がん協会  

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Research Projects

  • 肺がん対策に資するマイクロシミュレーションモデルの精密化とその応用

    Grant number:25K13577  2025.4 - 2029.3

    日本学術振興会  科学研究費助成事業  基盤研究(C)

    福井 敬祐

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    Grant amount:\4550000 ( Direct Cost: \3500000 、 Indirect Cost:\1050000 )

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  • 空間疫学モデルを利用した多様な出生コホート効果の検出法の開発

    Grant number:24K13510  2024.4 - 2028.3

    日本学術振興会  科学研究費助成事業  基盤研究(C)

    冨田 哲治, 加茂 憲一, 福井 敬祐

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    Grant amount:\4550000 ( Direct Cost: \3500000 、 Indirect Cost:\1050000 )

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  • 子宮体がんの各種登録データベースの評価とそれを活用した臨床・疫学的分析

    Grant number:24K12623  2024.4 - 2027.3

    日本学術振興会  科学研究費助成事業  基盤研究(C)

    八木 麻未, 上田 豊, 福井敬祐, 伊藤ゆり

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    Grant amount:\4160000 ( Direct Cost: \3200000 、 Indirect Cost:\960000 )

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  • 社会経済格差をふまえた保険者別向老期における孤立予防の地域デビュー促進の実装研究

    Grant number:23K10331  2023.4 - 2028.3

    日本学術振興会  科学研究費助成事業  基盤研究(C)

    和泉 京子, 金谷 志子, 福井 敬祐, 上野 昌江, 川井 太加子, 枝澤 真紀, 内藤 義彦, 松井 菜摘, 中原 洋子, 堀田 邦子

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    Authorship:Coinvestigator(s) 

    Grant amount:\4680000 ( Direct Cost: \3600000 、 Indirect Cost:\1080000 )

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  • がん対策の年齢調整死亡率・罹患率に与える影響と要因に関する研究

    2023.4 - 2026.3

    厚生労働省  厚生労働科学研究費補助金 

    片野田 耕太

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  • がん検診受診率の妥当性評価のための研究

    2023.4 - 2026.3

    厚生労働省  厚生労働科学研究費補助金 

    中山 富雄

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  • 誰一人取り残さないがん対策における格差のモニタリングと要因解明に資する研究

    Grant number:23EA1034  2023.4 - 2026.3

    厚生労働省  厚生労働科学研究費 がん対策総合研究事業 

    伊藤 ゆり, 祖父江 友孝, 藤 也寸志, 鈴木 達也, 中谷 友樹, 片岡 葵, 澤田 典絵, 田中 宏和, 西岡 大輔, 福井 敬祐, 藤阪 保仁, 花房 真理子, 釆野 優, 本多 和典, 久村 和穂

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  • 市民参加でつくる「住むだけで健康になるスマートシティ」

    Grant number:22K19697  2022.6 - 2024.3

    日本学術振興会  科学研究費助成事業 挑戦的研究(萌芽)  挑戦的研究(萌芽)

    伊藤 ゆり, 中谷 友樹, 埴淵 知哉, 福井 敬祐, 本庄 かおり, 佐藤 倫治, 西岡 大輔

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    Grant amount:\6370000 ( Direct Cost: \4900000 、 Indirect Cost:\1470000 )

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  • Refinement and improvement of microsimulation for colorectal cancer risk assessment

    Grant number:22K10559  2022.4 - 2026.3

    Japan Society for the Promotion of Science  Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)  Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

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    Grant amount:\4030000 ( Direct Cost: \3100000 、 Indirect Cost:\930000 )

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  • 傾向スコアマッチング・症例対照研究・モデル解析を用いた肺癌CT個別化検診の確立

    Grant number:22K10590  2022.4 - 2025.3

    日本学術振興会  科学研究費助成事業 基盤研究(C)  基盤研究(C)

    佐川 元保, 中山 富雄, 福井 敬祐

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    Grant amount:\3640000 ( Direct Cost: \2800000 、 Indirect Cost:\840000 )

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  • Microsimulation modelによる都道府県のがん対策支援ツール開発

    Grant number:21K17288  2021.4 - 2025.3

    日本学術振興会  科学研究費助成事業 若手研究  若手研究

    福井 敬祐

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    Grant amount:\4420000 ( Direct Cost: \3400000 、 Indirect Cost:\1020000 )

    超高齢社会にある我が国において, 国民医療費の増大は避けられず, 少ない資源から最大効果を発揮するがん対策策定のための基盤づくりは急務である。近年, がん対策の介入効果をMicrosimulation model(MS)と呼ばれる数理シミュレーションを用いて仮想的に評価・定量化する方法が着目されている。MSは実証研究の実行が非現実的な場合にも結果を迅速に算出できる利点があるが, 既存のmodelは“国全体”のデータやパラメータを基に開発され, 本来がん対策の主体となる都道府県の実情を完全には表現できていない問題点がある。そこで本研究では, 都道府県のがん対策に貢献可能なMSの活用手法の提案を目的とした。
    今年度は大腸がんMSの改良として当初の予定通り, 利用可能なデータやパラメータの整備・探索を課題とし, がん登録・人口動態統計資料等を用いたデータ申請・収集とその活用の探索を行った。特に大腸がんMSを用いた将来推計を行うために, 収取したデータから経時的なパラメータを作成・推定し, MSへの導入を行うための改良を行った。結果として現段階で将来推計などの実行が可能となった。
    また, 本研究で使用する大腸がんMSを用いて, 複数の検診・精密検診受診率の向上シナリオに基づく死亡率減少効果の定量化についての検討を行った。今年度の検討は, 本MSを実際の介入効果の比較に利用可能かの検討のために利用したが, 今後はパラメータに経時性を導入した場合にも同様な介入効果の定量化が可能か, その方法とともに検討していく。

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  • バーレンツ海域における統合的海洋生態系評価のための統計的時空間推定手法の研究

    Grant number:JPJSBP120219927  2021.4 - 2024.3

    日本学術振興会  二国間交流事業  共同研究

    栁原 宏和, 若木 宏文, 二宮 嘉行, 山村 麻理子, 永井 勇, 福井 敬祐, 伊森 晋平, 橋本 真太郎, 小田 凌也, 大石 峰暉, 鬼塚 貴広, Hiroko Solvang, Tore Hang, Nils Øien, Matin Biuw, Sam Subbey, Benjamin Planque, Hans Skaug, Ulf Lindestroem

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  • Spatio-temporal risk models for Hiroshima and Nagasaki exposures by Fused-lasso

    Grant number:20H04151  2020.4 - 2025.3

    Japan Society for the Promotion of Science  Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research  Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)

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    Grant amount:\17550000 ( Direct Cost: \13500000 、 Indirect Cost:\4050000 )

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  • がん対策の年齢調整死亡率・罹患率に及ぼす影響に関する研究

    2020.4 - 2023.3

    厚生労働省  厚生労働科学研究費 

    片野田 耕太

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  • 健康政策を効果最大化と格差縮小の両軸で評価するためのツール開発:肺がんを事例に

    Grant number:19H01076  2019.4 - 2024.3

    日本学術振興会  科学研究費助成事業 基盤研究(A)  基盤研究(A)

    祖父江 友孝, 中山 富雄, 加茂 憲一, 伊藤 ゆり, 福井 敬祐, 片野田 耕太, 近藤 尚己, 岡見 次郎, 藤阪 保仁, 中谷 友樹, 東山 聖彦

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    Grant amount:\44850000 ( Direct Cost: \34500000 、 Indirect Cost:\10350000 )

    2022年度は日本版の肺がんマイクロシミュレーション(MS)モデルの枠組を用いて、各シナリオに基づく分析が可能になるように必要なデータ収集・粗集計を行った。研究集会を6月に行い、研究進捗状況について情報共有し、今後の研究計画を確認した。また各チームミーティングを2か月に1回程度行い、進捗を共有した。
    A. MSモデルの構築:米国CISNETの先行研究の肺がん自然史モデルをもとに、作成した日本版肺がん自然史モデルに対し、収集したデータを一部適用し、結果の出力が可能であることを確認し、学会で報告した。
    B. 予防(たばこ対策の効果):国民生活基礎調査データや国民健康栄養調査データを入手し、リンケージの作業を進めている。これらのデータを用いてSmoking History Generatorの精緻化を行い、MSモデルに組み込むデータを作成した。
    C. 検診(胸部X線検査、低線量CT検査の効果):日本で実施された過去の胸部X線の住民検診や低線量CTを使用した住民検診コホートのデータや学会収集のデータをもとに喫煙状況別に発見時のがんのサイズなどのデータを整理し報告した。
    D. 治療(分子標的薬、免疫チェックポイント阻害剤等の普及の効果)・サバイバーシップ:院内がん登録とDPCデータを突合したデータを用いて、居住地の地理的剥奪指標ごとに生存率の分析を行い、論文を発表した。全国がん登録データを入手し、地理的剥奪指標の付与の作業を開始した。商用データベースにより就労・療養両立支援に関するデータの分析も行った。
    E. 健康格差:肺がんのアウトカムとして死亡率の地理的剥奪指標による格差について分析を行った。全国がん登録データにより罹患率、生存率の格差の解析についても着手した。喫煙率・検診受診率の格差について、国民健康栄養調査および国民生活基礎調査を用いて分析を開始した。

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  • シミュレーションモデルに基づく個別化がん予防アプローチの効果検証研究

    2019.4 - 2022.3

    国立研究開発法人国立がん研究センター  運営費交付金研究開発費(がん研究開発費) 

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  • Statistical inference for cancer incidence in prefectural level

    Grant number:18K10068  2018.4 - 2021.3

    Japan Society for the Promotion of Science  Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)  Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

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    Grant amount:\4420000 ( Direct Cost: \3400000 、 Indirect Cost:\1020000 )

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  • Economic analysis of forest ecosystem services induced by spread dynamics through the discrete optimization framework

    Grant number:17H00806  2017.4 - 2022.3

    Japan Society for the Promotion of Science  Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (A)  Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (A)

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    Authorship:Coinvestigator(s) 

    Grant amount:\39520000 ( Direct Cost: \30400000 、 Indirect Cost:\9120000 )

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  • 科学的根拠に基づくがん種別・年代別検診手法の受診者にわかりやすい勧奨方法の開発に関する研究

    2017.4 - 2020.3

    厚生労働省  厚生労働科学研究費補助金 

    中山 富雄

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    Grant type:Competitive

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  • Development of methods for trends analysis of cancer incidence and mortality with varying coefficient model

    Grant number:17K15842  2017.4 - 2020.3

    Japan Society for the Promotion of Science  Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research  Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B)

    Fukui Keisuke

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    Grant amount:\4030000 ( Direct Cost: \3100000 、 Indirect Cost:\930000 )

    Projecting cancer mortality is fundamental to the process of planning cancer control. In this study, we focus on the varying coefficient model for analyzing the longitudinal trend of cancer incidence and mortality in order to generalize the structure of time-varying factors and introducing non-time-varying factors such as regional characteristics and socioeconomic disparities.

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  • HTLV-Ⅰ母子感染予防に関するエビデンス創出のための研究

    2017.4 - 2020.3

    厚生労働省  厚生労働行政推進調査事業費 

    板橋 家頭夫

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  • Prognostic model to support their decision making of cancer patients in the era of precision medicine

    Grant number:16K09046  2016.4 - 2019.3

    Japan Society for the Promotion of Science  Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)  Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

    Yuri Ito

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    Grant amount:\4810000 ( Direct Cost: \3700000 、 Indirect Cost:\1110000 )

    We aimed to establish a prognostic model for cancer using the real-world data to support the decision making of cancer patients and medical staff in the era of precision medicine. The prognostic models were based on statistical methods, such as the regression tree for survival data and classification by scoring risk of death from cancer, applying the database of cancer patients. We also examined the utility and limitation of the prognostic models. Statistical approach for the prognostic models were sophisticated by developing the approach to use Brior score for the excess hazard models.

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Teaching Experience

  • 応用データサイエンス

    2024.10 - 2025.3 Institution:関西大学

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  • 社会安全学のための統計学

    2024.10 - 2025.3 Institution:関西大学

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  • 数学実習

    2024.4 - 2024.9 Institution:関西大学

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  • M応用データサイエンス特論

    2024.4 - 2024.9 Institution:関西大学大学院

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  • 公衆衛生看護疫学特論

    2024.4 - 2024.9 Institution:武庫川女子大学

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  • 社会安全学総論II

    2023.12 Institution:関西大学

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  • 社会健康医療データサイエンス演習

    2023.12 Institution:大阪医科薬科大学

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  • 医学統計学特論2

    2023.12 Institution:大阪大学

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  • 応用情報工学演習

    2023.11 Institution:東京理科大学

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  • 医療統計

    2023.10 - 2024.3 Institution:広島大学

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  • 社会安全学のための統計学

    2023.10 - 2024.3 Institution:関西大学

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  • 社会とデータ解析

    2023.10 - 2024.3 Institution:広島大学

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  • 専門演習II

    2023.10 - 2024.3 Institution:関西大学

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  • 計画と管理の数理

    2023.10 - 2024.3 Institution:関西大学

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  • D応用データサイエンス特論

    2023.10 - 2024.3 Institution:関西大学大学院

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  • 数学実習

    2023.4 - 2023.9 Institution:関西大学

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  • 入門演習

    2023.4 - 2023.9 Institution:関西大学

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  • 基礎演習

    2023.4 - 2023.9 Institution:関西大学

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  • M応用データサイエンス特論

    2023.4 - 2023.9 Institution:関西大学大学院

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  • 公衆衛生看護疫学特論

    2023.4 - 2023.9 Institution:武庫川女子大学大学院

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  • 生物統計学

    2023.4 - 2023.9 Institution:武庫川女子大学大学院

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  • 生活情報学演習

    2023.4 - 2023.9 Institution:安田女子大学大学院

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  • 専門演習1

    2023.4 - 2023.9 Institution:関西大学

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  • 統計学

    2023.4 - 2023.6 Institution:山陽女子短期大学

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  • 社会健康医療データサイエンス演習

    2022.12 Institution:大阪医科薬科大学

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  • 医療統計

    2022.10 - 2023.3 Institution:広島大学

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  • 生活情報学特論

    2022.10 - 2023.3 Institution:安田女子大学大学院

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  • データサイエンス基礎

    2022.10 - 2023.3 Institution:広島大学

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  • データ科学

    2022.10 - 2023.3 Institution:広島大学

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  • 社会とデータ解析

    2022.10 - 2022.11 Institution:広島大学

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  • 数学概論

    2022.6 - 2022.8 Institution:広島大学大学院

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  • 公衆衛生看護疫学特論

    2022.4 - 2022.9 Institution:武庫川女子大学大学院

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  • 生物統計学

    2022.4 - 2022.9 Institution:武庫川女子大学大学院

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  • 応用数学B

    2022.4 - 2022.8 Institution:広島工業大学

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  • 情報科学の最前線

    2022.4 - 2022.6 Institution:広島大学

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  • 統計学

    2022.4 - 2022.6 Institution:山陽女子短期大学

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  • 情報処理と産業

    2022.4 - 2022.6 Institution:広島大学

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  • データサイエンス基礎

    2021.12 - 2022.2 Institution:広島大学

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  • 社会健康医療データサイエンス演習

    2021.12 Institution:大阪医科薬科大学

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  • 医療統計

    2021.10 - 2022.3 Institution:広島大学

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  • データサイエンス

    2021.10 - 2022.3 Institution:広島大学大学院

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  • Society and Data Analysis

    2021.10 - 2022.3 Institution:Hiroshima University

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  • 医療・福祉政策とデータ解析

    2021.10 - 2022.3 Institution:広島大学

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  • 生活情報学特論

    2021.10 - 2022.3 Institution:安田女子大学大学院

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  • 生物統計学

    2021.4 - 2021.9 Institution:武庫川女子大学大学院

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  • 生活情報学演習

    2021.4 - 2021.9 Institution:安田女子大学大学院

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  • データリテラシー

    2021.4 - 2021.9 Institution:広島大学大学院

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  • 教養ゼミ

    2021.4 - 2021.6 Institution:広島大学

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  • データサイエンス

    2020.10 - 2021.3 Institution:広島大学大学院

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  • 医療統計

    2020.10 - 2021.3 Institution:広島大学

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  • 生活情報学特論

    2020.10 - 2021.3 Institution:安田女子大学大学院

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  • 微分積分学II

    2020.10 - 2021.3 Institution:広島大学

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  • 生物統計学

    2020.4 - 2020.9 Institution:武庫川女子大学大学院

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  • 医療統計学基礎(第2~6回)

    2020.4 - 2020.8 Institution:大阪医科大学

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  • 大学院統合講義(医療統計)

    2019.10 Institution:大阪医科大学

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  • 生物統計学

    2019.4 - 2019.9 Institution:武庫川女子大学大学院

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  • 大学院統合講義(医療統計)

    2018.10 Institution:大阪医科大学

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Social Activities

  • 学校法人池田学園池田中・高等学校データ分析アドバイザー

    Role(s): Advisor

    2023.6 - 2024.3

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  • 愛知県院内がん登録実務者講習会講師

    Role(s): Lecturer

    2023.3

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    Type:Seminar, workshop

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  • 社会人向けリカレント教育講座講師

    Role(s): Lecturer

    一般社団法人 AI・データイノベーション教育研究推進機構  2022.10 - 2022.11

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  • 医療統計ミニレクチャー

    Role(s): Lecturer

    TDSE株式会社  2022.9

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    Type:Visiting lecture

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  • 山口県立下関西高等学校スーパーサイエンスハイスクール講師

    Role(s): Lecturer

    2022.5

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    Type:Visiting lecture

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  • IEA-WP & JEA Joint Seminar

    Role(s): Lecturer

    IEA-WP & JEA  How to treat missing data Missing data? What should we do? For beginner to intermediate level  2022.3

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    Type:Seminar, workshop

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  • 日本疫学会2022プレセミナー講師

    Role(s): Lecturer

    日本疫学会  いま改めて「欠測データ」の解析について考える  2022.1

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  • 山口県立下関西高等学校スーパーサイエンスハイスクール講師

    Role(s): Lecturer

    2021.5

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  • はじめてのR講師

    Role(s): Lecturer

    広島大学AI・データイノベーションセンター  2020.12 - 2021.2

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    Type:Seminar, workshop

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Media Coverage

  • 大腸がん検診80歳以下は不利益大きく Newspaper, magazine

    朝日新聞  2019.2

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    Author:Other 

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